Closed form expressions for choice probabilities in the Weibull case

E Castillo, JM Menéndez, P Jiménez, A Rivas - … Research Part B …, 2008 - Elsevier
Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, 2008Elsevier
For a probabilistic discrete choice model with independent reversed Gumbel distributed
random costs, closed form expressions for the choice probabilities are known under the
assumption that the variance is the same for all choice alternatives. This assumption is
highly disputable in many cases in reality. In this paper, closed form expressions for the
choice probabilities are derived for the case of independent Weibull distributed random
costs. It is then necessary to assume that the variance of the Weibull distributed cost is a …
For a probabilistic discrete choice model with independent reversed Gumbel distributed random costs, closed form expressions for the choice probabilities are known under the assumption that the variance is the same for all choice alternatives. This assumption is highly disputable in many cases in reality. In this paper, closed form expressions for the choice probabilities are derived for the case of independent Weibull distributed random costs. It is then necessary to assume that the variance of the Weibull distributed cost is a specific increasing function of its mean, which, however, may be a more natural assumption in many cases. The theoretical results are explained and exemplified in terms of the familiar stochastic user equilibrium (SUE) traffic assignment model.
Elsevier
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