As climate models improve, decision-makers' expectations for accurate climate predictions
are growing. Natural climate variability, however, poses inherent limits to climate
predictability and the related goal of adaptation guidance in many places, as illustrated here
for North America. Other locations with low natural variability show a more predictable future
in which anthropogenic forcing can be more readily identified, even on small scales. We call
for a more focused dialogue between scientists, policymakers and the public to improve …