Comparative analysis of land use change model at Gapcheon watershed

PJ Kwon, J Ryu, DJ Lee, J Han, Y Sung… - Journal of Korean …, 2016 - koreascience.kr
PJ Kwon, J Ryu, DJ Lee, J Han, Y Sung, KJ Lim, KS Kim
Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment, 2016koreascience.kr
For the prediction of hydrologic phenomenon, predicting future land use change is a very
important task. This study aimed to compare and analyze the two land use change models,
CLUE-S and SLEUTH3-R. The analysis of two models were performed based on the MSR
value such that the model with more reliable MSR value can be recommended as an
appropriate land use change prediction model. The model performance was examined by
applying to the Gapcheon A watershed. Land use map of the study area of 2007 obtained …
Abstract
For the prediction of hydrologic phenomenon, predicting future land use change is a very important task. This study aimed to compare and analyze the two land use change models, CLUE-S and SLEUTH3-R. The analysis of two models were performed based on the MSR value such that the model with more reliable MSR value can be recommended as an appropriate land use change prediction model. The model performance was examined by applying to the Gapcheon A watershed. Land use map of the study area of 2007 obtained from the Ministry of Environment was compared with the predicted land use map obtained from each of the two models. The result from both models showed somewhat similar results. The MSR value obtained from CLUE-S was 0.564, while that from SLEUTH3-R was 0.586. However, when land use map of 2010 was compared with predicted land use map obtained from the two models in same manner, the MSR value obtained from CLUE-S'was 0.500 while that from SLEUTH3-R was decreased to 0.397, an approximately 32.3% decrease from previous value of 2007. Moreover, SLEUTH3-R showed more sensitivity in conversion of urban areas, as compared to other land use types. Therefore, for the prediction of future land use change, CLUE-S model is more reliable than SLEUTH3-R.
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