[PDF][PDF] Determining the short and long term volatility spillovers between wheat, cotton and corn prices in Turkey using the asymmetric BEKK-GARCH-mean equation …

FN Özdemir, A Bilgiç - Scientific Papers Series …, 2023 - managementjournal.usamv.ro
Scientific Papers Series Management, Economic …, 2023managementjournal.usamv.ro
In the study, the price volatility relationship between wheat, cotton and corn markets was
investigated and daily data for the period 02.04. 2005-11.03. 2020 were used. The VAR-
Asymmetric BEKK-GARCH model, which analyzes the markets simultaneously in a single
system, was chosen. Persistent long-term uncertainty in the wheat market affects the market
positively. Long-term uncertainty in the cotton market creates uncertainty both in its own
market and in the corn market. Persistent long-term uncertainty in the corn market creates …
Abstract
In the study, the price volatility relationship between wheat, cotton and corn markets was investigated and daily data for the period 02.04. 2005-11.03. 2020 were used. The VAR-Asymmetric BEKK-GARCH model, which analyzes the markets simultaneously in a single system, was chosen. Persistent long-term uncertainty in the wheat market affects the market positively. Long-term uncertainty in the cotton market creates uncertainty both in its own market and in the corn market. Persistent long-term uncertainty in the corn market creates permanent uncertainties both in its own market and in other markets, and these effects are statistically significant. Markets were more affected by long-term shocks.
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