Dynamic security risk evaluation via hybrid Bayesian risk graph in cyber-physical social systems

S Li, S Zhao, Y Yuan, Q Sun… - IEEE Transactions on …, 2018 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
S Li, S Zhao, Y Yuan, Q Sun, K Zhang
IEEE Transactions on Computational Social Systems, 2018ieeexplore.ieee.org
Cyber-physical social system (CPSS) plays an important role in both the modern lifestyle
and business models, which significantly changes the way we interact with the physical
world. The increasing influence of cyber systems and social networks is also a high risk for
security threats. The objective of this paper is to investigate associated risks in CPSS, and a
hybrid Bayesian risk graph (HBRG) model is proposed to analyze the temporal attack activity
patterns in dynamic cyberphysical social networks. In the proposed approach, a hidden …
Cyber-physical social system (CPSS) plays an important role in both the modern lifestyle and business models, which significantly changes the way we interact with the physical world. The increasing influence of cyber systems and social networks is also a high risk for security threats. The objective of this paper is to investigate associated risks in CPSS, and a hybrid Bayesian risk graph (HBRG) model is proposed to analyze the temporal attack activity patterns in dynamic cyberphysical social networks. In the proposed approach, a hidden Markov model is introduced to model the dynamic influence of activities, which then be mapped into a Bayesian risks graph (BRG) model that can evaluate the risk propagation in a layered risk architecture. Our numerical studies demonstrate that the framework can model and evaluate risks of user activity patterns that expose to CPSSs.
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