[PDF][PDF] Hydrosystem optimization on a budget: investigating the potential of surrogate based optimization techniques

I Tsoukalas, P Dimas… - Proceedings of the 14th …, 2015 - researchgate.net
Proceedings of the 14th International Conference on Environmental …, 2015researchgate.net
Hydrosystem management is a demanding and challenging task due to the complexity of the
system dynamics, the number of decision variables and the hydrological uncertainty. In
order to overcome those issues the parsimonious parameterization-simulation-optimization
(PSO) framework is employed coupled with stochastically generated hydrological time-
series. However, this coupling imposes a computational barrier to the framework. The
purpose of this paper is threefold: a) Investigate the potential of Efficient Global Optimization …
Abstract
Hydrosystem management is a demanding and challenging task due to the complexity of the system dynamics, the number of decision variables and the hydrological uncertainty. In order to overcome those issues the parsimonious parameterization-simulation-optimization (PSO) framework is employed coupled with stochastically generated hydrological time-series. However, this coupling imposes a computational barrier to the framework. The purpose of this paper is threefold: a) Investigate the potential of Efficient Global Optimization (EGO) algorithm which is capable of reaching global optima within a few simulation model evaluations b) Extend the capabilities of WEAP21 water resources management model by using it within PSO framework (WEAP21-PSO) and c) Validate and compare the results of WEAP21-PSO using the well-known hydrosystem management model Hydronomeas DSS. Results confirm that EGO has the potential to handle effectively computationally demanding optimization problems performing few simulation model evaluations and that the WEAP21-PSO framework performs well at the task at hand.
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