Impact of control interventions on COVID-19 population dynamics in Malaysia: a mathematical study

A Abidemi, ZM Zainuddin, NAB Aziz - The European Physical Journal Plus, 2021 - Springer
The European Physical Journal Plus, 2021Springer
Abstract Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has posed a serious threat to
both the human health and economy of the affected nations. Despite several control efforts
invested in breaking the transmission chain of the disease, there is a rise in the number of
reported infected and death cases around the world. Hence, there is the need for a
mathematical model that can reliably describe the real nature of the transmission behaviour
and control of the disease. This study presents an appropriately developed deterministic …
Abstract
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has posed a serious threat to both the human health and economy of the affected nations. Despite several control efforts invested in breaking the transmission chain of the disease, there is a rise in the number of reported infected and death cases around the world. Hence, there is the need for a mathematical model that can reliably describe the real nature of the transmission behaviour and control of the disease. This study presents an appropriately developed deterministic compartmental model to investigate the effect of different pharmaceutical (treatment therapies) and non-pharmaceutical (particularly, human personal protection and contact tracing and testing on the exposed individuals) control measures on COVID-19 population dynamics in Malaysia. The data from daily reported cases of COVID-19 between 3 March and 31 December 2020 are used to parameterize the model. The basic reproduction number of the model is estimated. Numerical simulations are carried out to demonstrate the effect of various control combination strategies involving the use of personal protection, contact tracing and testing, and treatment control measures on the disease spread. Numerical simulations reveal that the implementation of each strategy analysed can significantly reduce COVID-19 incidence and prevalence in the population. However, the results of effectiveness analysis suggest that a strategy that combines both the pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical control measures averts the highest number of infections in the population.
Springer
以上显示的是最相近的搜索结果。 查看全部搜索结果

Google学术搜索按钮

example.edu/paper.pdf
搜索
获取 PDF 文件
引用
References