[PDF][PDF] Indonesian export analysis: Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model approach

S Labibah, A Jamal, TC Dawood - Journal of Economics, Business, & …, 2021 - core.ac.uk
S Labibah, A Jamal, TC Dawood
Journal of Economics, Business, & Accountancy Ventura, 2021core.ac.uk
There are some factors predicted tohave an effect on the countries' economic devlopment.
This study aimed to analyze the long-term and short-term effects of Inflation, Exchange Rate,
and Foreign Economic Growth (the destination of the United States, China, and Japan) on
the Indonesian Export. The Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Model is used in this
analysis from 1968 through 2017. The results of the analysis show that in the long-term, the
inflation and the economic growth in China as well in Japan has a positive sign and …
Abstract
There are some factors predicted tohave an effect on the countries’ economic devlopment. This study aimed to analyze the long-term and short-term effects of Inflation, Exchange Rate, and Foreign Economic Growth (the destination of the United States, China, and Japan) on the Indonesian Export. The Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Model is used in this analysis from 1968 through 2017. The results of the analysis show that in the long-term, the inflation and the economic growth in China as well in Japan has a positive sign and significant effect on Indonesian exports. In addition, in the short-term, the US exchange rate and economic growth have a positive significant effect on Indonesian exports.
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