Integrating human judgement into quantitative forecasting methods: A review

M Arvan, B Fahimnia, M Reisi, E Siemsen - Omega, 2019 - Elsevier
Omega, 2019Elsevier
Product forecasts are a critical input into sourcing, procurement, production, inventory,
logistics, finance and marketing decisions. Numerous quantitative models have been
developed and applied to generate and improve product forecasts. The use of human
judgement, either solely or in conjunction with quantitative models, has been well
researched in the academic literature and is a popular forecasting approach in industry
practice. In the context of judgemental forecasting, methods that integrate an expert's …
Abstract
Product forecasts are a critical input into sourcing, procurement, production, inventory, logistics, finance and marketing decisions. Numerous quantitative models have been developed and applied to generate and improve product forecasts. The use of human judgement, either solely or in conjunction with quantitative models, has been well researched in the academic literature and is a popular forecasting approach in industry practice. In the context of judgemental forecasting, methods that integrate an expert's judgement into quantitative forecasting models are commonly referred to as “integrating forecasting” methods. This paper presents a systematic review of the literature of judgemental demand forecasting with a focus placed on integrating methods. We explore the role of expert opinion and contextual information and discuss the application of behaviourally informed support systems. We also provide important directions for further research in these areas.
Elsevier
以上显示的是最相近的搜索结果。 查看全部搜索结果

Google学术搜索按钮

example.edu/paper.pdf
搜索
获取 PDF 文件
引用
References