[PDF][PDF] Modeling and Forecasting of Rice Production in Some Major States of India using ARIMA
International Journal for Research in Applied Science & Engineering …, 2020•academia.edu
This paper focuses on the production of rice for last 61 years in India primarily dealing with
the production variable of the ten highest rice harvesting states of the country. Using the Box
Jenkins approach of model identification, the best possible ARIMA model is fitted among
various competing models. Goodness of fit of each of these models is tested and the best
model is used to forecast the production of rice for the coming years. In this regard, checking
for series stationary is an important aspect which has been taken in account before …
the production variable of the ten highest rice harvesting states of the country. Using the Box
Jenkins approach of model identification, the best possible ARIMA model is fitted among
various competing models. Goodness of fit of each of these models is tested and the best
model is used to forecast the production of rice for the coming years. In this regard, checking
for series stationary is an important aspect which has been taken in account before …
Abstract
This paper focuses on the production of rice for last 61 years in India primarily dealing with the production variable of the ten highest rice harvesting states of the country. Using the Box Jenkins approach of model identification, the best possible ARIMA model is fitted among various competing models. Goodness of fit of each of these models is tested and the best model is used to forecast the production of rice for the coming years. In this regard, checking for series stationary is an important aspect which has been taken in account before proceeding with any analysis.
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