Nonlinear dynamics and stock returns

JA Scheinkman, B LeBaron - Journal of business, 1989 - JSTOR
Journal of business, 1989JSTOR
Simple deterministic systems are capable of generating chaotic output that" mimics" the
output of stochastic systems. For this reason, algorithms have been developed to distinguish
between these two alternatives. These algorithms and related statistical tests are also useful
in detecting the presence of nonlinear dependence in time series. In this article we apply
these procedures to stock returns and find evidence that indicates the presence of nonlinear
dependence on weekly returns from the Center for Research in Security Prices (CRSP) …
Simple deterministic systems are capable of generating chaotic output that "mimics" the output of stochastic systems. For this reason, algorithms have been developed to distinguish between these two alternatives. These algorithms and related statistical tests are also useful in detecting the presence of nonlinear dependence in time series. In this article we apply these procedures to stock returns and find evidence that indicates the presence of nonlinear dependence on weekly returns from the Center for Research in Security Prices (CRSP) value-weighted index.
JSTOR
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