Occupational exposure to capital-embodied technical change

J Caunedo, D Jaume, E Keller - American Economic Review, 2023 - aeaweb.org
American Economic Review, 2023aeaweb.org
We study differences in exposure to factor-biased technical change among occupations by
providing the first measures of capital-embodied technical change (CETC) and of the
elasticity of substitution between capital and labor at the occupational level. We document
sizable occupational heterogeneity in both measures, but quantitatively, it is the
heterogeneity in factor substitutability that fuels workers' exposure to CETC. In a general
equilibrium model of worker sorting across occupations, CETC accounts for almost all of the …
Abstract
We study differences in exposure to factor-biased technical change among occupations by providing the first measures of capital-embodied technical change (CETC) and of the elasticity of substitution between capital and labor at the occupational level. We document sizable occupational heterogeneity in both measures, but quantitatively, it is the heterogeneity in factor substitutability that fuels workers’ exposure to CETC. In a general equilibrium model of worker sorting across occupations, CETC accounts for almost all of the observed labor reallocation in the US between 1984 and 2015. Absent occupational heterogeneity in factor substitutability, CETC accounts for only 17 percent of it (JEL I26, J16, J24, J31, O33)
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