On the causal structure between CO2 and global temperature
We use a newly developed technique that is based on the information flow concept to
investigate the causal structure between the global radiative forcing and the annual global
mean surface temperature anomalies (GMTA) since 1850. Our study unambiguously shows
one-way causality between the total Greenhouse Gases and GMTA. Specifically, it is
confirmed that the former, especially CO2, are the main causal drivers of the recent warming.
A significant but smaller information flow comes from aerosol direct and indirect forcing and …
investigate the causal structure between the global radiative forcing and the annual global
mean surface temperature anomalies (GMTA) since 1850. Our study unambiguously shows
one-way causality between the total Greenhouse Gases and GMTA. Specifically, it is
confirmed that the former, especially CO2, are the main causal drivers of the recent warming.
A significant but smaller information flow comes from aerosol direct and indirect forcing and …
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