[PDF][PDF] P Electrical Demand Load Forecasting by ARIMA Regression and Artificial Neural Networks

T Abreu, MLM Lopes, CR Santos Junior… - International Journal of …, 2016 - academia.edu
International Journal of Computer and Information Technology, 2016academia.edu
The use of hybrid techniques has been applied to solve several problems, including
convergence and precision. This paper proposes a hybrid methodology using SARIMA
regression models and Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network trained by Levenberg-
Marquardt algorithm applied to short term load forecasting. This forecasting is a notably
important task for the planning and operation of electrical power systems to anticipate when
and how much generation and transmission must be available to provide the required …
Abstract
The use of hybrid techniques has been applied to solve several problems, including convergence and precision. This paper proposes a hybrid methodology using SARIMA regression models and Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network trained by Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm applied to short term load forecasting. This forecasting is a notably important task for the planning and operation of electrical power systems to anticipate when and how much generation and transmission must be available to provide the required electrical load without interruption. The results are presented for a Brazilian electrical demand energy time series.
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