Predicting the accuracy of a decision: a neural mechanism of confidence

CR Fetsch, R Kiani, MN Shadlen - Cold Spring Harbor …, 2014 - symposium.cshlp.org
Cold Spring Harbor symposia on quantitative biology, 2014symposium.cshlp.org
The quantitative study of decision-making has traditionally rested on three key behavioral
measures: accuracy, response time, and confidence. Of these, confidence—defined as the
degree of belief, prior to feedback, that a decision is correct—is least well understood at the
level of neural mechanism, although recent years have seen a surge in interest in the topic
among theoretical and systems neuroscientists. Here we review some of these
developments and highlight a particular candidate mechanism for assigning confidence in a …
Abstract
The quantitative study of decision-making has traditionally rested on three key behavioral measures: accuracy, response time, and confidence. Of these, confidence—defined as the degree of belief, prior to feedback, that a decision is correct—is least well understood at the level of neural mechanism, although recent years have seen a surge in interest in the topic among theoretical and systems neuroscientists. Here we review some of these developments and highlight a particular candidate mechanism for assigning confidence in a perceptual decision. The mechanism is appealing because it is rooted in the same decision-making framework—bounded accumulation of evidence—that successfully explains accuracy and reaction time in many tasks, and it is validated by neurophysiology and microstimulation experiments.
symposium.cshlp.org
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