[PDF][PDF] Revenue dimensions of the EU ETS Phase III

S Cooper, M Grubb, A Rysanek, T Laing - 2011 - climatestrategies.org
S Cooper, M Grubb, A Rysanek, T Laing
2011climatestrategies.org
… For transparency and simplicity we use scenarios in which the carbon price starts at €15/tCO2
in the first year of Phase III (2013) and rises linearly towards the price levels projected for 2020
in the published scenarios of the European Commission1, and present results in terms of the
total cumulative revenues over the eight years of Phase III. Since markets are forward looking
(and €15/tCO2 is at the low end of current expectations) this will tend to underestimate the
impact of the higher price … Based on later estimations in this paper, this is equivalent to …
1) What is the likely scale and distribution of revenues associated with auctioning allowances under the currently proposed structure of EU ETS Phase III, and how might this be affected if the EU were to move to a stronger 2020 cap than 20%?
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