Stochastic simulation of clinical pathways from raw health databases

M Prodel, V Augusto, X Xie… - 2017 13th IEEE …, 2017 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
M Prodel, V Augusto, X Xie, B Jouaneton, L Lamarsalle
2017 13th IEEE Conference on Automation Science and Engineering (CASE), 2017ieeexplore.ieee.org
This paper presents a method to automatically create stochastic simulation models of clinical
pathways from raw databases. We introduce an automatic procedure to convert a process
model, discovered with process mining, into an actionable simulation model. The concept of
state charts is used and enriched to incorporate the distinctive features of healthcare
processes into the model. The clinical pathway model is used to simulate new patients'
sequence of events. The resulting model is validated by comparing key performances …
This paper presents a method to automatically create stochastic simulation models of clinical pathways from raw databases. We introduce an automatic procedure to convert a process model, discovered with process mining, into an actionable simulation model. The concept of state charts is used and enriched to incorporate the distinctive features of healthcare processes into the model. The clinical pathway model is used to simulate new patients' sequence of events. The resulting model is validated by comparing key performances indicators with historical data. Finally, we use the model to perform an automatically setup sensitivity analysis. The whole process is automated and can be used with any input data.
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