The economic impacts of a terrorist attack on the US commercial aviation system

P Gordon, JE Moore, JY Park… - Risk Analysis: An …, 2007 - Wiley Online Library
P Gordon, JE Moore, JY Park, HW Richardson
Risk Analysis: An International Journal, 2007Wiley Online Library
We use data on air passenger travel expenditures per passenger as well as statistical
analysis of the air traffic lost for the two‐year aftermath of the September 11, 2001, attacks to
estimate direct demand losses for air transportation services. These are used along with a
national input‐output model to assess the full costs of these losses. Depending on
assumptions made, the full losses to the US economy were between 214.3and 420.5 billion.
These estimates are similar to those from other studies of such an event, and suggest that …
We use data on air passenger travel expenditures per passenger as well as statistical analysis of the air traffic lost for the two‐year aftermath of the September 11, 2001, attacks to estimate direct demand losses for air transportation services. These are used along with a national input‐output model to assess the full costs of these losses. Depending on assumptions made, the full losses to the U.S. economy were between $214.3 and $420.5 billion. These estimates are similar to those from other studies of such an event, and suggest that the high costs of effective countermeasures may be justified.
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