[PDF][PDF] The role of ICEVs, HEVs, PHEVs, BEVs and FCVs in achieving stringent CO2 targets: results from global energy systems modeling

M Grahn, J Anderson, T Wallington… - World Electric Vehicle …, 2009 - researchgate.net
World Electric Vehicle Journal, 2009researchgate.net
A modified GET model version was used to investigate long-term, cost-effective fuel and
vehicle technologies for global passenger transport. The aim was to quantify the potential
impact of carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology and low CO2 intensity electricity
from renewable sources, such as concentrating solar power (CSP), on cost-effective
passenger vehicle fuel and technology options necessary to achieve stabilization of
atmospheric CO2 at 450 ppm. In addition, the model was used to assess the sensitivity of …
Abstract
A modified GET model version was used to investigate long-term, cost-effective fuel and vehicle technologies for global passenger transport. The aim was to quantify the potential impact of carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology and low CO2 intensity electricity from renewable sources, such as concentrating solar power (CSP), on cost-effective passenger vehicle fuel and technology options necessary to achieve stabilization of atmospheric CO2 at 450 ppm. In addition, the model was used to assess the sensitivity of future vehicle cost assumptions. For all cases investigated, there is no single technology and fuel that dominates throughout the century; instead a variety of fuels and vehicle technologies are important. The availability of CCS and CSP have a substantial impact on cost-effective fuel and technology choices, in general:(i) the introduction of CCS increases the use of coal in the energy system and conventional vehicle technology,(ii) the introduction of CSP reduces the relative cost of electricity in relation to hydrogen and tends to increase the use of electricity for transport, and (iii) the introduction of both CCS and CSP reduces the economic incentives to shift to more advanced vehicle technologies.
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