US monetary policy and BRICS stock market bubbles

R Gupta, J Nel, J Nielsen - Finance Research Letters, 2023 - Elsevier
R Gupta, J Nel, J Nielsen
Finance Research Letters, 2023Elsevier
We use the multi-scale Log-Periodic Power Law Singularity (LPPLS) confidence indicator
approach to detect both positive and negative bubbles at short-, medium-and long-run for
the stock markets of the BRICS countries. Then, we utilize impulse responses obtained from
the local projection method (LPM) framework to capture the effect of US monetary policy
shocks on the BRICS bloc equity market. The effect of these shocks on the bubble indicators
for each country is limited, with a strong positive impact observed under the medium-term …
Abstract
We use the multi-scale Log-Periodic Power Law Singularity (LPPLS) confidence indicator approach to detect both positive and negative bubbles at short-, medium- and long-run for the stock markets of the BRICS countries. Then, we utilize impulse responses obtained from the local projection method (LPM) framework to capture the effect of US monetary policy shocks on the BRICS bloc equity market. The effect of these shocks on the bubble indicators for each country is limited, with a strong positive impact observed under the medium-term negative bubble indicator of Brazil, China and South Africa. Given the findings, associated policy implications are discussed.
Elsevier
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