Wasserstein generative learning with kinematic constraints for probabilistic interactive driving behavior prediction

H Ma, J Li, W Zhan, M Tomizuka - 2019 IEEE Intelligent …, 2019 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
2019 IEEE Intelligent Vehicles Symposium (IV), 2019ieeexplore.ieee.org
Since prediction plays a significant role in enhancing the performance of decision making
and planning procedures, the requirement of advanced methods of prediction becomes
urgent. Although many literatures propose methods to make prediction on a single agent,
there is still a challenging and open problem on how to make prediction for multi-agent
systems. In this work, by leveraging the power of statistics and information theory, we
propose a novel deep latent variable model based on Wasserstein auto-encoder, which is …
Since prediction plays a significant role in enhancing the performance of decision making and planning procedures, the requirement of advanced methods of prediction becomes urgent. Although many literatures propose methods to make prediction on a single agent, there is still a challenging and open problem on how to make prediction for multi-agent systems. In this work, by leveraging the power of statistics and information theory, we propose a novel deep latent variable model based on Wasserstein auto-encoder, which is able to learn a complex probabilistic distribution. Models such as neural networks cannot guarantee the satisfaction of dynamic system constraints directly. Therefore, we also propose a novel generative model structure to enable our approach to satisfy the kinematic constraints automatically. We test our model on both numerical examples and a real-world application to demonstrate its accuracy and efficiency. The results show that the proposed model achieves a better prediction accuracy than the other state-of-the-art methods under common evaluation metrics. Moreover, we introduce statistics to evaluate if the generative model literally learns the interaction patterns between different agents in the environments.
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