Exploratory modelling for transport infrastructure planning under future uncertainty

O Roman, AB Elvarsson, BT Adey - Life-Cycle of Structures and …, 2023 - taylorfrancis.com
Planning transport infrastructure is particularly difficult due to infrastructure's long-lived
nature, unpredictable technological progress and changing mobility trends in society. In …

Evaluating highway design considering uncertain mobility patterns and decision flexibility

C Martani, S Eberle, BT Adey - Infrastructure Asset …, 2022 - icevirtuallibrary.com
Determining how infrastructure corridors are to be designed optimally and modified over
time is challenging due to the considerable uncertainty associated with potential changes in …

Planning transport networks for an uncertain future: a UK case study

S Blainey, A Hickford, J Preston - European Transport Conference …, 2013 - trid.trb.org
The long lifetime and substantial financial cost of transport infrastructure assets makes
planning investment in transport networks an important and difficult task. The current …

Multivariate simulation modelling for adaptive long-term infrastructure planning

M Havelaar, W Jaspers… - Infrastructure Asset …, 2019 - icevirtuallibrary.com
Infrastructure asset managers are challenged by rapid changes around the world such as
urbanisation and climate change. They have to deal with multiple complex and dynamic …

A methodology to identify and assess transport infrastructure development considering land-use uncertainty

AB Elvarsson, F Marggi… - 24th Swiss Transport …, 2024 - research-collection.ethz.ch
This paper presents a methodology to identify and assess transport infrastructure
development considering land-use uncertainty, emphasizing the challenges posed by …

Implementing early-stage highway planning support in Dübendorf-Hinwil considering uncertain land-use and mobility demand

F Marggi, AB Elvarsson… - 24th Swiss Transport …, 2024 - research-collection.ethz.ch
This paper shows a case study for a tool introduced by Elvarsson et al.(2024) identifying po
tential for more efficient and effective infrastructure planning, emphasizing foresight in …

Modeling uncertainty dynamics in public transport optimization

A Trivella, F Corman - 19th Swiss transport research …, 2019 - research-collection.ethz.ch
Public transport networks such as bus and railway networks are highly complex systems. In
fact, multiple sources of uncertainty including fluctuating passenger demand, variable road …

[PDF][PDF] Grand challenges in modeling and simulating urban transportation systems

R Fujimoto, J Leonard - Proceedings of the First International Conference …, 2002 - Citeseer
Congestion in surface transportation systems has reached unprecedented levels, and now
costs tens of billions of dollars each year in productivity and extra fuel costs in the US alone …

Bright ideas in transportation

R Ewing - Planning, 1999 - trid.trb.org
This feature highlights several transportation ideas of the past--both those that worked and
those that did not pan out. Dial-a-ride transit, personal rapid transit, congestion pricing, and …

Emerging frameworks for handling deep uncertainty with applications to Long-Term transportation planning

KE Popp - 2021 - repository.gatech.edu
Long-term transportation planning is necessary for allocating funds, prioritizing projects,
scheduling maintenance, and preparing for future challenges such as population changes …