What can scenario modelling tell us about future European scale agricultural land use, and what not?

E Audsley, KR Pearn, C Simota, G Cojocaru… - Environmental science & …, 2006 - Elsevier
Given scenarios describing future climates and socio-techno-economics, this study
estimates the consequences for agricultural land use, combining models of crop growth and …

A coherent set of future land use change scenarios for Europe

MDA Rounsevell, I Reginster, MB Araújo… - Agriculture, Ecosystems …, 2006 - Elsevier
This paper presents a range of future, spatially explicit, land use change scenarios for the
EU15, Norway and Switzerland based on an interpretation of the global storylines of the …

Future European agricultural landscapes—what can we learn from existing quantitative land use scenario studies?

G Busch - Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment, 2006 - Elsevier
The structure of agricultural production and spatial patterns of agricultural land use in
Europe are expected to face major changes over the next decades due to changes in global …

Future scenarios of European agricultural land use: II. Projecting changes in cropland and grassland

MDA Rounsevell, F Ewert, I Reginster… - Agriculture, Ecosystems …, 2005 - Elsevier
This paper presents the development of quantitative, spatially explicit and alternative
scenarios of future agricultural land use in Europe (the 15 European Union member states …

Scenario-based studies of future land use in Europe.

PH Verburg, MDA Rounsevell, A Veldkamp - 2006 - cabidigitallibrary.org
The eight papers in this special issue provide an overview of the state-of-the-art in land use
scenario development at the European scale. The results of the Advanced Ecosystem …

Scenario development to explore the future of Europe's rural areas

HJ Westhoek, M Van den Berg, JA Bakkes - Agriculture, ecosystems & …, 2006 - Elsevier
Changes in rural areas, such as depopulation and land abandonment, but also
intensification and loss of biodiversity, usually proceed very slowly yet are often irreversible …

Future scenarios of European agricultural land use: I. Estimating changes in crop productivity

F Ewert, MDA Rounsevell, I Reginster… - Agriculture, Ecosystems …, 2005 - Elsevier
The future of agricultural land use in Europe is unknown but is likely to be influenced by the
productivity of crops. Changes in crop productivity are difficult to predict but can be explored …

Principal land use changes anticipated in Europe

J Bouma, G Varallyay, NH Batjes - Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment, 1998 - Elsevier
Major changes in land use may be anticipated in Europe in the decades to come as a result
of technological, socio-economic and political developments as well as global …

Assessing spatial uncertainties of land allocation using a scenario approach and sensitivity analysis: a study for land use in Europe

PH Verburg, A Tabeau, E Hatna - Journal of environmental management, 2013 - Elsevier
Land change model outcomes are vulnerable to multiple types of uncertainty, including
uncertainty in input data, structural uncertainties in the model and uncertainties in model …

Socio-economic scenario development for the assessment of climate change impacts on agricultural land use: a pairwise comparison approach

J Abildtrup, E Audsley, M Fekete-Farkas… - Environmental science & …, 2006 - Elsevier
Assessment of the vulnerability of agriculture to climate change is strongly dependent on
concurrent changes in socio-economic development pathways. This paper presents an …