Approaches for performing uncertainty analysis in large-scale energy/economic policy models

A Kann, JP Weyant - Environmental Modeling & Assessment, 2000 - Springer
A number of key policy insights have emerged from the application of large-scale
economic/energy models, such as integrated assessment models for climate change. These …

A model framework for integrated studies of the climate problem

H Dowlatabadi, MG Morgan - Energy Policy, 1993 - Elsevier
Establishing research priorities and developing and evaluating alternative policy options in
the domain of climate change are activities that require a broad look across all the elements …

Uncertainty in integrated assessment models: modeling with MiniCAM 1.0

MJ Scott, RD Sands, J Edmonds, AM Liebetrau… - Energy Policy, 1999 - Elsevier
Human-initiated climate change remains one of the major science-based public policy
issues facing the nations of the world. One feature of the issue that inhibits effective …

Uncertainty and economic analysis of climate change: A survey of approaches and findings

S Peterson - Environmental Modeling & Assessment, 2006 - Springer
The analysis of climate change is confronted with large uncertainties that need to be taken
into account to arrive at meaningful policy recommendations. The main contribution of …

[PDF][PDF] Characterizing climate-change uncertainties for decision-makers

R Lempert, N Nakicenovic, D Sarewitz… - Climatic …, 2004 - cetesb.sp.gov.br
Climate-change policy-making confronts a wide range of significant scientific and
socioeconomic uncertainties. How experts should best characterize such uncertainties for …

Modeling uncertainty in climate change: A multi-model comparison

The economics of climate change involves a vast array of uncertainties, complicating both
the analysis and development of climate policy. This study presents the results of the first …

Uncertainty analysis of climate change and policy response

M Webster, C Forest, J Reilly, M Babiker, D Kicklighter… - Climatic change, 2003 - Springer
To aid climate policy decisions, accurate quantitative descriptions of the uncertainty in
climate outcomes under various possible policies are needed. Here, we apply an earth …

Exploring scenario and model uncertainty in cross-sectoral integrated assessment approaches to climate change impacts

R Dunford, PA Harrison, MDA Rounsevell - Climatic Change, 2015 - Springer
In this paper we present an uncertainty analysis of a cross-sectoral, regional-scale,
Integrated Assessment Platform (IAP) for the assessment of climate change impacts …

Modeling uncertainty in integrated assessment of climate change: A multimodel comparison

K Gillingham, W Nordhaus, D Anthoff… - Journal of the …, 2018 - journals.uchicago.edu
The economics of climate change involves a vast array of uncertainties, complicating our
understanding of climate change. This study explores uncertainty in baseline trajectories …

Managing climate change under uncertainty: Recursive integrated assessment at an inflection point

D Lemoine, I Rudik - Annual Review of Resource Economics, 2017 - annualreviews.org
Uncertainty is critical to questions about climate change policy. Recently developed
recursive integrated assessment models have become the primary tools for studying and …