An efficient COVID-19 prediction model validated with the cases of China, Italy and Spain: Total or partial lockdowns?

S Sanchez-Caballero, MA Selles, MA Peydro… - Journal of clinical …, 2020 - mdpi.com
The present work develops an accurate prediction model of the COVID-19 pandemic,
capable not only of fitting data with a high regression coefficient but also to predict the …

Modelling the initial epidemic trends of COVID-19 in Italy, Spain, Germany, and France

K Wang, L Ding, Y Yan, C Dai, M Qu, D Jiayi, X Hao - PloS one, 2020 - journals.plos.org
The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) has fast spread to over 200 countries and
regions worldwide since its outbreak, while in March, Europe became the emerging …

Epidemiological predictive modeling of COVID-19 infection: development, testing, and implementation on the population of the Benelux union

T Šušteršič, A Blagojević, D Cvetković… - Frontiers in public …, 2021 - frontiersin.org
Since the outbreak of coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19), the whole world has taken
interest in the mechanisms of its spread and development. Mathematical models have been …

[HTML][HTML] COVID-19 virus outbreak forecasting of registered and recovered cases after sixty day lockdown in Italy: A data driven model approach

N Chintalapudi, G Battineni, F Amenta - Journal of Microbiology …, 2020 - Elsevier
Abstract Background Till 31 March 2020, 105,792 COVID-19 cases were confirmed in Italy
including 15,726 deaths which explains how worst the epidemic has affected the country …

[HTML][HTML] COVID-19 epidemic prediction and the impact of public health interventions: A review of COVID-19 epidemic models

Y Xiang, Y Jia, L Chen, L Guo, B Shu, E Long - Infectious Disease …, 2021 - Elsevier
The coronavirus disease outbreak of 2019 (COVID-19) has been spreading rapidly to all
corners of the word, in a very complex manner. A key research focus is in predicting the …

[HTML][HTML] Short-term forecast in the early stage of the COVID-19 outbreak in Italy. Application of a weighted and cumulative average daily growth rate to an exponential …

N Bartolomeo, P Trerotoli, G Serio - Infectious Disease Modelling, 2021 - Elsevier
To estimate the size of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak in the early stage in Italy,
this paper introduces the cumulated and weighted average daily growth rate (WR) to …

Modelling the transmission dynamics of COVID‐19 in six high‐burden countries

A Rahman, MA Kuddus - BioMed Research International, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
The new Coronavirus Disease 19, officially known as COVID‐19, originated in China in
2019 and has since spread worldwide. We presented an age‐structured Susceptible‐Latent …

A model for COVID-19 prediction in Iran based on China parameters

B Zareie, A Roshani, MA Mansournia, MA Rasouli… - MedRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
Background The rapid spread of COVID-19 virus from China to other countries and
outbreaks of disease require an epidemiological analysis of the disease in the shortest time …

COVID-19 forecasts for Cuba using logistic regression and gompertz curves

JF Medina-Mendieta, M Cortés-Cortés… - MEDICC …, 2022 - SciELO Public Health
Abstract INTRODUCTION On March 11, 2020, WHO declared COVID-19 a pandemic and
called on governments to impose drastic measures to fight it. It is vitally important for …

Predicting the COVID-19 positive cases in India with concern to Lockdown by using Mathematical and Machine Learning based Models

AK Pasayat, SN Pati, A Maharana - MedRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
In this study, we analyze the number of infected positive cases of COVID-19 outbreak with
concern to lockdown in India in the time window of February 11th 2020 to Jun 30th 2020 …