Effective judgmental forecasting in the context of fashion products

M Seifert, E Siemsen, AL Hadida… - Journal of Operations …, 2015 - Elsevier
We study the conditions that influence judgmental forecasting effectiveness when predicting
demand in the context of fashion products. Human judgment is of practical importance in this …

Integrating human judgement into quantitative forecasting methods: A review

M Arvan, B Fahimnia, M Reisi, E Siemsen - Omega, 2019 - Elsevier
Product forecasts are a critical input into sourcing, procurement, production, inventory,
logistics, finance and marketing decisions. Numerous quantitative models have been …

The need for contextual and technical knowledge in judgmental forecasting

NR Sanders, LP Ritzman - Journal of Behavioral Decision …, 1992 - Wiley Online Library
The purpose of this research is to assess the extent to which judgmental forecasts are
improved by having more contextual and technical knowledge. Contextual information is …

Bringing judgment into combination forecasts

NR Sanders, LP Ritzman - Journal of Operations Management, 1995 - Elsevier
This research investigates the benefits in forecast accuracy by combining judgmental
forecasts with those generated by statistical models. Our study differs from prior research …

Interaction of judgemental and statistical forecasting methods: issues & analysis

D Bunn, G Wright - Management science, 1991 - pubsonline.informs.org
This paper reviews several of the current controversies in the relative value of judgemental
and statistical forecasting methods. Where expert, informed judgemental forecasts are being …

Evaluating human behaviour in response to AI recommendations for judgemental forecasting

N Khosrowabadi, K Hoberg, C Imdahl - European Journal of Operational …, 2022 - Elsevier
Various advanced systems deploy artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) to
improve demand forecasting. Supply chain planners need to become familiar with these …

When providing optimistic and pessimistic scenarios can be detrimental to judgmental demand forecasts and production decisions

P Goodwin, MS Gönül, D Önkal - European Journal of Operational …, 2019 - Elsevier
This paper examines the accuracy of judgmental forecasts of product demand and the
quality of subsequent production level decisions under two different conditions:(i) the …

Improving judgmental forecasts with judgmental bootstrapping and task feedback support

M O'Connor, W Remus, K Lim - Journal of Behavioral Decision …, 2005 - Wiley Online Library
This study examines the utility of two widely advocated methods for supporting judgmental
forecasts—providing task feedback and providing judgmental bootstrapping support. In a …

On the relative importance of linear model and human judge (s) in combined forecasting

M Seifert, AL Hadida - Organizational Behavior and Human Decision …, 2013 - Elsevier
When and to what extent should forecasts rely on linear model or human judgment? The
judgmental forecasting literature suggests that aggregating model and judge using a simple …

Investigating the added value of integrating human judgement into statistical demand forecasting systems

P Baecke, S De Baets, K Vanderheyden - International Journal of …, 2017 - Elsevier
Whilst the research literature points towards the benefits of a statistical approach, business
practice continues in many cases to rely on judgmental approaches for demand forecasting …