How to use aggregation and combined forecasting to improve seasonal demand forecasts

M Dekker, K Van Donselaar, P Ouwehand - International Journal of …, 2004 - Elsevier
Standard forecasting methods that are designed to cope with seasonal demand often are no
longer applicable in practice. Due to growing assortments and shorter product life cycles …

The impact of aggregation level on forecasting performance

G Zotteri, M Kalchschmidt, F Caniato - International Journal of Production …, 2005 - Elsevier
Most operations decisions are based on some kind of forecast of future demand. Thus,
forecasting is definitely a very traditional area in the operations and inventory management …

Joint in-season and out-of-season promotion demand forecasting in a retail environment

J Wolters, A Huchzermeier - Journal of Retailing, 2021 - Elsevier
Inaccurate forecasts of demand during promotions diminish the already meager profit
margins of retailers. No forecasting method described in the literature can accurately …

Forecasting with combined seasonal indices

R Withycombe - International Journal of Forecasting, 1989 - Elsevier
Traditional methods of forecasting the demand for products that exhibit a seasonal pattern
call for estimation of the seasonal component based on the history of demands for that …

A model for selecting the appropriate level of aggregation in forecasting processes

G Zotteri, M Kalchschmidt - International Journal of Production Economics, 2007 - Elsevier
Demand forecasting is a major issue in several industrial sectors. A relevant choice for
companies is the proper level of forecast aggregation. Forecasters need to properly identify …

[HTML][HTML] Forecasting with multivariate temporal aggregation: The case of promotional modelling

N Kourentzes, F Petropoulos - International Journal of Production …, 2016 - Elsevier
Demand forecasting is central to decision making and operations in organisations. As the
volume of forecasts increases, for example due to an increased product customisation that …

Measuring forecast accuracy: Omissions in today's forecasting engines and demand-planning software

J Hoover - Foresight: The International Journal of Applied …, 2006 - ideas.repec.org
In this article Jim discusses 1) forecast error calculations for intermittent (sporadic) demand
items, 2) issues with measuring forecast error aggregated across items, and 3) metrics for …

Cluster-based hierarchical demand forecasting for perishable goods

J Huber, A Gossmann, H Stuckenschmidt - Expert systems with …, 2017 - Elsevier
Demand forecasting is of particular importance for retailers in the context of supply chains of
perishable goods and fresh food. Such goods are daily produced and delivered as they …

The inventory performance of forecasting methods: Evidence from the M3 competition data

F Petropoulos, X Wang, SM Disney - International Journal of Forecasting, 2019 - Elsevier
Forecasting competitions have been a major driver not only of improvements in forecasting
methods' performances, but also of the development of new forecasting approaches …

'Horses for Courses' in demand forecasting

F Petropoulos, S Makridakis, V Assimakopoulos… - European Journal of …, 2014 - Elsevier
Forecasting as a scientific discipline has progressed a lot in the last 40 years, with Nobel
prizes being awarded for seminal work in the field, most notably to Engle, Granger and …