Explosive transitions in epidemic dynamics

G Börner, M Schröder, D Scarselli… - Journal of Physics …, 2022 - iopscience.iop.org
Standard epidemic models exhibit one continuous, second order phase transition to
macroscopic outbreaks. However, interventions to control outbreaks may fundamentally alter …

Disease-induced resource constraints can trigger explosive epidemics

L Böttcher, O Woolley-Meza, NAM Araújo… - Scientific reports, 2015 - nature.com
Advances in mathematical epidemiology have led to a better understanding of the risks
posed by epidemic spreading and informed strategies to contain disease spread. However …

Outbreak statistics and scaling laws for externally driven epidemics

S Singh, CR Myers - Physical Review E, 2014 - APS
Power-law scalings are ubiquitous to physical phenomena undergoing a continuous phase
transition. The classic susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR) model of epidemics is one …

Nontrivial resource requirement in the early stage for containment of epidemics

X Chen, T Zhou, L Feng, J Liang, F Liljeros, S Havlin… - Physical review E, 2019 - APS
During epidemic control, containment of the disease is usually achieved through increasing
a devoted resource to reduce the infectiousness. However, the impact of this resource …

Pathways to discontinuous transitions in interacting contagion dynamics

S Lamata-Otín, J Gómez-Gardeñes… - Journal of Physics …, 2024 - iopscience.iop.org
Yet often neglected, dynamical interdependencies between concomitant contagion
processes can alter their intrinsic equilibria and bifurcations. A particular case of interest for …

Pathways to explosive transitions in interacting contagion dynamics

S Lamata-Otín, J Gómez-Gardeñes… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2023 - arxiv.org
Yet often neglected, dynamical interdependencies between concomitant contagion
processes can alter their intrinsic equilibria and bifurcations. A particular case of interest for …

Epidemic spreading under mutually independent intra-and inter-host pathogen evolution

X Zhang, Z Ruan, M Zheng, J Zhou, S Boccaletti… - Nature …, 2022 - nature.com
The dynamics of epidemic spreading is often reduced to the single control parameter R 0
(reproduction-rate), whose value, above or below unity, determines the state of the …

The statistics of epidemic transitions

JM Drake, TS Brett, S Chen, BI Epureanu… - PLoS computational …, 2019 - journals.plos.org
Emerging and re-emerging pathogens exhibit very complex dynamics, are hard to model
and difficult to predict. Their dynamics might appear intractable. However, new statistical …

Effects of confinement and vaccination on an epidemic outburst: A statistical mechanics approach

Ó Toledano, B Mula, SN Santalla, J Rodríguez-Laguna… - Physical Review E, 2021 - APS
This work describes a simple agent model for the spread of an epidemic outburst, with
special emphasis on mobility and geographical considerations, which we characterize via …

Discontinuous epidemic transition due to limited testing

D Scarselli, NB Budanur, M Timme, B Hof - Nature communications, 2021 - nature.com
High impact epidemics constitute one of the largest threats humanity is facing in the 21st
century. In the absence of pharmaceutical interventions, physical distancing together with …