[引用][C] Considering multiple futures: Scenario planning to address uncertainty in natural resource conservation

EL Rowland, MS Cross, H Hartmann - 2014 - programs.wcs.org
Conservation professionals face unprecedented challenges arising from changes in land
use, invasive species, biodiversity, climate, and more. These changes interact in complex …

[PDF][PDF] Scenario planning for climate change adaptation

SS Moore, NE Seavy, M Gerhart - A guidance for resource managers …, 2013 - glslcities.org
Scenario planning is a tool that embraces uncertainty rather than trying to reduce or
eliminate it. It can help resource managers generate creative approaches to climate change …

Scenario planning: a tool for conservation in an uncertain world

GD Peterson, GS Cumming… - Conservation …, 2003 - Wiley Online Library
Conservation decisions about how, when, and where to act are typically based on our
expectations for the future. When the world is highly unpredictable and we are working from …

Multiple methods for multiple futures: Integrating qualitative scenario planning and quantitative simulation modeling for natural resource decision making

AJ Symstad, NA Fisichelli, BW Miller, E Rowland… - Climate Risk …, 2017 - Elsevier
Scenario planning helps managers incorporate climate change into their natural resource
decision making through a structured “what-if” process of identifying key uncertainties and …

Managing Alaska's National Parks in an era of uncertainty: an evaluation of scenario planning workshops

CN Knapp, N Fresco, L Krutikov - Regional Environmental Change, 2017 - Springer
Scenario planning is a flexible tool used to assess a broad range of plausible, relevant,
divergent, and challenging futures, for short-term responses and long-term planning …

[HTML][HTML] Scenario-based decision analysis: integrated scenario planning and structured decision making for resource management under climate change

BW Miller, MJ Eaton, AJ Symstad, GW Schuurman… - Biological …, 2023 - Elsevier
Managing resources under climate change is a high-stakes and daunting task, especially
because climate change and associated complex biophysical responses engender …

[PDF][PDF] Repeatable approaches to work with scientific uncertainty and advance climate change adaptation in US national parks

AN Runyon, AR Carlson, J Gross… - Parks Stewardship …, 2020 - escholarship.org
NPS established its Climate Change Response Program (CCRP) in 2009 to support climate-
informed management for all resources, 1 assets, and values across the US national park …

Case studies of scenario analysis for adaptive management of natural resource and infrastructure systems

MC Hamilton, SA Thekdi, EM Jenicek… - Environment Systems & …, 2013 - Springer
Management of natural resources and infrastructure systems for sustainability is complicated
by uncertainties in the human and natural environment. Moreover, decisions are further …

Radical uncertainty: scenario planning for futures

MA Zapata, N Kaza - … and Planning B: Planning and Design, 2015 - journals.sagepub.com
The use of scenario planning in urban and regional planning practice has grown in the last
decade as one way to face uncertainty. However, in adapting scenario planning from its …

Scenario planning during rapid ecological change: lessons and perspectives from workshops with southwest Yukon wildlife managers

DM Beach, DA Clark - Ecology and Society, 2015 - JSTOR
Scenario planning has been increasingly advocated as a strategic planning tool for enabling
natural resource managers to make decisions in the face of uncertainty and rapid change …