[HTML][HTML] Use of contextual and model-based information in adjusting promotional forecasts

A Sroginis, R Fildes, N Kourentzes - European journal of operational …, 2023 - Elsevier
Despite improvements in statistical forecasting, human judgment remains fundamental to
business forecasting and demand planning. Typically, forecasters do not rely solely on …

Demand forecasting in the presence of systematic events: Cases in capturing sales promotions

M Abolghasemi, J Hurley, A Eshragh… - International Journal of …, 2020 - Elsevier
Reliable demand forecasts are critical for effective supply chain management. Several
endogenous and exogenous variables can influence the dynamics of demand, and hence a …

Forecast adjustments during post-promotional periods

HC Hewage, HN Perera, S De Baets - European Journal of Operational …, 2022 - Elsevier
Sales promotions are a key cause for judgmental adjustments to forecasts, especially in the
world of Fast-Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG). Typically, three types of periods are …

Analysis of judgmental adjustments in the presence of promotions

JR Trapero, DJ Pedregal, R Fildes… - International Journal of …, 2013 - Elsevier
Sales forecasting is becoming increasingly complex, due to a range of factors, such as the
shortening of product life cycles, increasingly competitive markets, and aggressive …

Use and misuse of information in supply chain forecasting of promotion effects

R Fildes, P Goodwin, D Önkal - International Journal of Forecasting, 2019 - Elsevier
Demand forecasting is critical to sales and operations planning (S&OP), but the effects of
sales promotions can be difficult to forecast. Typically, a baseline statistical forecast is …

PromoCast™: A new forecasting method for promotion planning

LG Cooper, P Baron, W Levy, M Swisher… - Marketing …, 1999 - pubsonline.informs.org
This article describes the implementation of a promotion-event forecasting system,
PromoCast™, and its performance in several pilot applications and validity studies. Pilot …

On the identification of sales forecasting models in the presence of promotions

JR Trapero, N Kourentzes, R Fildes - Journal of the operational …, 2015 - Taylor & Francis
Shorter product life cycles and aggressive marketing, among other factors, have increased
the complexity of sales forecasting. Forecasts are often produced using a Forecasting …

[HTML][HTML] Forecasting with multivariate temporal aggregation: The case of promotional modelling

N Kourentzes, F Petropoulos - International Journal of Production …, 2016 - Elsevier
Demand forecasting is central to decision making and operations in organisations. As the
volume of forecasts increases, for example due to an increased product customisation that …

Is a 70% forecast more accurate than a 30% forecast? How level of a forecast affects inferences about forecasts and forecasters

R Bagchi, EC Ince - Journal of Marketing Research, 2016 - journals.sagepub.com
Consumers routinely rely on forecasters to make predictions about uncertain events (eg,
sporting contests, stock fluctuations). The authors demonstrate that when forecasts are …

Retail forecasting: Research and practice

R Fildes, S Ma, S Kolassa - International Journal of Forecasting, 2022 - Elsevier
This paper reviews the research literature on forecasting retail demand. We begin by
introducing the forecasting problems that retailers face, from the strategic to the operational …