Demand forecasting in the presence of systematic events: Cases in capturing sales promotions

M Abolghasemi, J Hurley, A Eshragh… - International Journal of …, 2020 - Elsevier
Reliable demand forecasts are critical for effective supply chain management. Several
endogenous and exogenous variables can influence the dynamics of demand, and hence a …

[HTML][HTML] Use of contextual and model-based information in adjusting promotional forecasts

A Sroginis, R Fildes, N Kourentzes - European journal of operational …, 2023 - Elsevier
Despite improvements in statistical forecasting, human judgment remains fundamental to
business forecasting and demand planning. Typically, forecasters do not rely solely on …

On the identification of sales forecasting models in the presence of promotions

JR Trapero, N Kourentzes, R Fildes - Journal of the operational …, 2015 - Taylor & Francis
Shorter product life cycles and aggressive marketing, among other factors, have increased
the complexity of sales forecasting. Forecasts are often produced using a Forecasting …

Joint in-season and out-of-season promotion demand forecasting in a retail environment

J Wolters, A Huchzermeier - Journal of Retailing, 2021 - Elsevier
Inaccurate forecasts of demand during promotions diminish the already meager profit
margins of retailers. No forecasting method described in the literature can accurately …

Demand forecasting in supply chain: The impact of demand volatility in the presence of promotion

M Abolghasemi, E Beh, G Tarr, R Gerlach - Computers & Industrial …, 2020 - Elsevier
The demand for a particular product or service is typically associated with different
uncertainties that can make them volatile and challenging to predict. Demand …

Forecast adjustments during post-promotional periods

HC Hewage, HN Perera, S De Baets - European Journal of Operational …, 2022 - Elsevier
Sales promotions are a key cause for judgmental adjustments to forecasts, especially in the
world of Fast-Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG). Typically, three types of periods are …

Identifying the underlying structure of demand during promotions: A structural equation modelling approach

U Ramanathan, L Muyldermans - Expert systems with applications, 2011 - Elsevier
It is widely recognized that promotions enhance product sales. Other factors such as
seasonality, special days, customer preferences and economic factors may also have an …

Analysis of judgmental adjustments in the presence of promotions

JR Trapero, DJ Pedregal, R Fildes… - International Journal of …, 2013 - Elsevier
Sales forecasting is becoming increasingly complex, due to a range of factors, such as the
shortening of product life cycles, increasingly competitive markets, and aggressive …

[HTML][HTML] Forecasting with multivariate temporal aggregation: The case of promotional modelling

N Kourentzes, F Petropoulos - International Journal of Production …, 2016 - Elsevier
Demand forecasting is central to decision making and operations in organisations. As the
volume of forecasts increases, for example due to an increased product customisation that …

Use and misuse of information in supply chain forecasting of promotion effects

R Fildes, P Goodwin, D Önkal - International Journal of Forecasting, 2019 - Elsevier
Demand forecasting is critical to sales and operations planning (S&OP), but the effects of
sales promotions can be difficult to forecast. Typically, a baseline statistical forecast is …