Though we commonly make them the butt of our jokes, weather forecasters are in fact
exceptionally good at managing uncertainty. They consistently do a better job calibrating …

Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological
prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective …

During the last few decades, scientific capabilities for understanding and predicting weather
and climate risks have advanced rapidly. At the same time, technological advances, such as …

Whether it is used as an icebreaker in conversation or as the subject of serious inquiry,“the
weather” is one of the few subjects that everyone talks about. And though we recognize the …

Differences of opinion exist among forecasters—and between forecasters and users—
regarding the meaning of the phrase “good (bad) weather forecasts.” These differences of …

Communicating Uncertainty in Weather Forecasts: A Survey of the US Public in: Weather and
Forecasting Volume 23 Issue 5 (2008) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation Logo Logo …

A lively, inspiring account of the pioneers who sought toaccurately predict the weather
Benjamin Franklin... James P. Espy... Cleveland Abbe... Carl-Gustaf Rossby... Jule G …

Bridging the sociology of uncertainty and weather, this review paper provides a sociological
examination of the weather forecasting enterprise in order to illustrate how expert decision …

Today's ensemble weather prediction systems provide reliable and sharp probabilistic
forecasts—yet they are still rarely communicated to outside users because of two main …

Despite the meteorological community's long-term interest in weather-society interactions,
efforts to understand socioeconomic aspects of weather prediction and to incorporate this …