[PDF][PDF] “The ANC will rule until Jesus comes”: The determinants of loyalty, switching and exiting for the African National Congress in the 2019 elections

EK Jacobs - 2023 - scholar.sun.ac.za
Electoral volatility is considered a vital component in the optimal functioning of a multi-party
democracy. The fact that parties can win or lose votes is what gives democracy meaning, as …

The Decline of Partisan Voting and the Rise in Electoral Uncertainty in South Africa's 2019 General Elections

C Schulz-Herzenberg - Reflections on the 2019 South African …, 2020 - taylorfrancis.com
South Africa's democratic elections have produced highly stable and predictable outcomes,
largely as a result of the slow pace of change in partisanship. However, a sudden decline in …

It takes two to toyi-toyi: one party dominance and opposition party failure in South Africa's 2019 national election

C Schulz-Herzenberg, RB Mattes - Democratization, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
Why do dominant parties continue to win elections despite significant governance failures?
Scholars of one party democracies tend to locate explanations at the macro-level …

Nigerian electoral black market: where do party switchers go and why does it matter?

V Agboga - Africa Spectrum, 2024 - journals.sagepub.com
With most existing research on party switching concentrating on the drivers of defection and
the electoral performance of defectors, this research sheds light on the events that occurred …

Shifting electoral trends, participation and party support

C Schulz-Herzenberg - Journal of Public Administration, 2016 - journals.co.za
This article argues that despite the continued incumbency of the African National Congress,
South Africa's 2016 municipal elections presented a marked departure from previous …

Determinants of swing voting in Africa: evidence from Ghana's elections

J Taden, DK Banini, A Kingsley - Journal of Elections, Public …, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
An increasing number of African countries are experiencing electoral power shifts, indicating
that more voters are switching loyalties between parties and candidates. Theories that pin …

The 2021 municipal elections: rise of the volatile voter or disaffected citizen?

C Schulz-Herzenberg - Politikon, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
South Africa's 2021 municipal elections present something of a paradox. The results
suggested a highly competitive environment, especially in the urban metropoles, with an …

Vote-Switching in South Africa: Exploring the Motivations of Voters who switched from the ACDP and COPE to the DA in the 2011 Local Government Election

ML Moses - 2014 - etd.uwc.ac.za
This study explores the motivations of voters who chose to switch their vote or support from
the African Christian Democratic Party (ACDP) and the Congress of the People (COPE) to …

Election 2019: Change and stability in South Africa's democracy: edited by Collette Schulz-Herzenberg and Roger Southall, Johannesburg, Jacana and Konrad …

T Lodge - 2020 - Taylor & Francis
There were not many surprises in South AfricaLs latest general election. In 2019, the ruling
African National Congress (ANC) took its smallest share of the poll since the advent of South …

A silent revolution: South African voters during the first years of democracy 1994-2006

C Schulz-Herzenberg - 2006 - open.uct.ac.za
Since the onset of democracy in 1994, South Africa's elections have returned similar levels
of support for the major political parties. However, aggregate electoral stability does not …