Bridging decision making under deep uncertainty (DMDU) and transition management (TM) to improve strategic planning for sustainable development
S Malekpour, WE Walker, FJ de Haan… - … Science & Policy, 2020 - Elsevier
Sustainable development is a long-term endeavour involving deep uncertainty and requiring
transformative change at multiple scales. To navigate such a grand challenge, new …
transformative change at multiple scales. To navigate such a grand challenge, new …
[HTML][HTML] Operationalising coastal resilience to flood and erosion hazard: A demonstration for England
Resilience is widely seen as an important attribute of coastal systems and, as a concept, is
increasingly prominent in policy documents. However, there are conflicting ideas on what …
increasingly prominent in policy documents. However, there are conflicting ideas on what …
Product–service system negotiation in aircraft lease contracts with option of disagreement
Maintenance is key to business continuity since this activity is required for the proper
functioning of engineering assets. Maintenance involves a wide range of activities and many …
functioning of engineering assets. Maintenance involves a wide range of activities and many …
Opening out and closing down: the treatment of uncertainty in transport planning's forecasting paradigm
Since the 1960s, development of the transport system has been framed by the notion of
forecasting future demand. Yet the past decade or more appears to signal some significant …
forecasting future demand. Yet the past decade or more appears to signal some significant …
Climate risk assessment in the MDB–a review
J Alexandra - Australasian Journal of Water Resources, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
Climate change introduces greater complexity to water resources planning, requiring
techniques suited to increased future uncertainties. In Australia's Murray Darling Basin …
techniques suited to increased future uncertainties. In Australia's Murray Darling Basin …
Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Yield of “Dual‐Priority” Water Rights in Carryover Systems at Catchment Scale
Future water availability is threatened by changes in both climate and water demand. Water
rights with differing priorities are an important foundation of demand‐side tools (eg, buyback …
rights with differing priorities are an important foundation of demand‐side tools (eg, buyback …
A review of the current state of process-based and data-driven modelling: guidelines for Lake Erie managers and watershed modellers
Elevated phosphorus (P) loading from the watersheds draining into Lake Erie, particularly
from agricultural (53%) and urban (43%) sources, is identified as one of the main drivers of …
from agricultural (53%) and urban (43%) sources, is identified as one of the main drivers of …
UK Net Zero policy design and deep uncertainty–the need for an alternative approach
QR Mendez, M Workman, G Darch - Environmental Science & Policy, 2024 - Elsevier
The majority of global emissions scenarios compatible with holding global warming to less
than 2° C depend on the large-scale use of Greenhouse Gas Removal (GGR) technologies …
than 2° C depend on the large-scale use of Greenhouse Gas Removal (GGR) technologies …
[HTML][HTML] Where does scientific uncertainty come from, and from whom? Mapping perspectives of natural hazards science advice
The science associated with assessing natural hazard phenomena and the risks they pose
contains many layers of complex and interacting elements, resulting in diverse sources of …
contains many layers of complex and interacting elements, resulting in diverse sources of …
A climate science toolkit for high impact‐low likelihood climate risks
An important component of the risks from climate change arises from outcomes that are very
unlikely, but whose impacts if they were to occur would be extremely severe. Examples …
unlikely, but whose impacts if they were to occur would be extremely severe. Examples …