Spatiotemporal graph neural networks with uncertainty quantification for traffic incident risk prediction

X Gao, X Jiang, D Zhuang, H Chen, S Wang… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2023 - arxiv.org
Predicting traffic incident risks at granular spatiotemporal levels is challenging. The datasets
predominantly feature zero values, indicating no incidents, with sporadic high-risk values for …

Uncertainty quantification via spatial-temporal tweedie model for zero-inflated and long-tail travel demand prediction

X Jiang, D Zhuang, X Zhang, H Chen, J Luo… - Proceedings of the 32nd …, 2023 - dl.acm.org
Understanding Origin-Destination (OD) travel demand is crucial for transportation
management. However, traditional spatial-temporal deep learning models grapple with …

Uncertainty in Graph Neural Networks: A Survey

F Wang, Y Liu, K Liu, Y Wang, S Medya… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2024 - arxiv.org
Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have been extensively used in various real-world
applications. However, the predictive uncertainty of GNNs stemming from diverse sources …

Cross-mode knowledge adaptation for bike sharing demand prediction using domain-adversarial graph neural networks

Y Liang, G Huang, Z Zhao - IEEE Transactions on Intelligent …, 2023 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
For bike sharing systems, demand prediction is crucial to ensure the timely re-balancing of
available bikes according to predicted demand. Existing methods for bike sharing demand …

Uncertainty-aware Traffic Prediction under Missing Data

H Mei, J Li, Z Liang, G Zheng, B Shi… - 2023 IEEE International …, 2023 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Traffic prediction is a crucial topic because of its broad scope of applications in the
transportation domain. Though recent studies have achieved promising results, most of them …

Explainable Origin-Destination Crowd Flow Interpolation via Variational Multi-Modal Recurrent Graph Auto-Encoder

Q Zhou, X Lu, J Gu, Z Zheng, B Jin… - Proceedings of the AAAI …, 2024 - ojs.aaai.org
Origin-destination (OD) crowd flow, if more accurately inferred at a fine-grained level, has
the potential to enhance the efficacy of various urban applications. While in practice for …

Uncertainty Quantification in the Road-level Traffic Risk Prediction by Spatial-Temporal Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial Graph Neural Network (STZINB-GNN)

X Gao, J Haworth, D Zhuang, H Chen… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2023 - arxiv.org
Urban road-based risk prediction is a crucial yet challenging aspect of research in
transportation safety. While most existing studies emphasize accurate prediction, they often …

Advancing Transportation Mode Share Analysis with Built Environment: Deep Hybrid Models with Urban Road Network

D Zhuang, Q Wang, Y Zheng, X Guo, S Wang… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2024 - arxiv.org
Transportation mode share analysis is important to various real-world transportation tasks as
it helps researchers understand the travel behaviors and choices of passengers. A typical …

Design of Transit-Centric Multimodal Urban Mobility System with Autonomous Mobility-on-Demand

X Guo, J Zhao - arXiv preprint arXiv:2404.05885, 2024 - arxiv.org
This paper addresses the pressing challenge of urban mobility in the context of growing
urban populations, changing demand patterns for urban mobility, and emerging …

SAUC: Sparsity-Aware Uncertainty Calibration for Spatiotemporal Prediction with Graph Neural Networks

D Zhuang, Y Bu, G Wang, S Wang… - Temporal Graph Learning …, 2023 - openreview.net
Quantifying uncertainty is essential for achieving robust and reliable predictions. However,
existing spatiotemporal models predominantly predict deterministic values, often …