A risk-informed decision-support framework for optimal operation of hurricane-impacted transportation networks

S Li, T Wu - Natural hazards review, 2023 - ascelibrary.org
To reduce life threats and financial losses under hurricane weather and traffic conditions,
stakeholders need to make a sequence of decisions (eg, enforcing traffic control and/or …

Highway improvement project rankings due to uncertain model inputs: Application of traditional transportation and land use models

J Duthie, A Voruganti, K Kockelman… - Journal of Urban …, 2010 - ascelibrary.org
While much research has been devoted to analyzing the variation in transportation and land
use model outputs due to uncertainty, little has been done to quantitatively answer the more …

Relaxing the multivariate normality assumption in the simulation of transportation system dependencies: an old technique in a new domain

MW Ng, K Kockelman, S Waller - Transportation Letters, 2010 - Taylor & Francis
By far the most popular method to account for dependencies in the transportation network
analysis literature is the use of the multivariate normal (MVN) distribution. While in certain …

[图书][B] Crystal balls and black boxes: Optimism bias in ridership and cost forecasts for new starts rapid transit projects

CT Voulgaris - 2017 - search.proquest.com
Several studies have observed an optimistic bias in cost and ridership forecasts for rail
transit projects around the globe, which has led to billions of dollars of public investment in …

[PDF][PDF] Bayesian approach to modelling uncertainty in transport infrastructure project forecasts

K Cheung, JW Polak - European Transport Conference, Noordwijk …, 2009 - aetransport.org
The increased participation of the private sector in the delivery of transport infrastructure
projects has increased the emphasis on understanding the accuracy and uncertainty of …

Development of improved trip attraction rates for small and medium-sized travel demand models

BR Sperry, BT Chigoy, LK Green… - Transportation …, 2016 - journals.sagepub.com
Accurate data are essential for the development of robust and valid travel demand models to
support the planning activities of metropolitan planning organizations (MPOs). The Travel …

How uncertainty in socio-economic variables affects large-scale transport model forecasts

S Manzo, OA Nielsen, CG Prato - European Journal of Transport and …, 2015 - orbit.dtu.dk
A strategic task assigned to large-scale transport models is to forecast the demand for
transport over long periods of time to assess transport projects. However, by modelling …

Short-Term Traffic Flow Uncertainty Prediction Based on Novel GM (1, 1)

XD CAO, Q SHI, YK CHEN, CC CHEN - Promet-Traffic&Transportation, 2024 - hrcak.srce.hr
Sažetak Anticipating uncertainty in short-term traffic flow is crucial for effective traffic
management within intelligent transportation systems. Various methods for predicting …

Clustering subway station arrival patterns using weighted dynamic time warping

R Wang, N Chen, C Zhang - 2018 IEEE International …, 2018 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
To better plan and schedule public transportation resources, it is crucial to understand the
travel demand from any location at any time. In this article, we focus on analyzing the …

Outcome of Transportation Projects Under Uncertainty: Examination of Benefit–Cost Ratios and other Impacts

DJ Fagnant, KM Kockelman - Transportation research record, 2012 - journals.sagepub.com
Budget constraints and competing opportunities demand thoughtful evaluation of projects
before investment. Significant uncertainty surrounds travel choices, demographic futures …