Determining the number of factors from empirical distribution of eigenvalues

A Onatski - The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2010 - direct.mit.edu
We develop a new estimator of the number of factors in the approximate factor models. The
estimator works well even when the idiosyncratic terms are substantially correlated. It is …

The effects of markets, uncertainty and search intensity on bitcoin returns

T Panagiotidis, T Stengos, O Vravosinos - International Review of Financial …, 2019 - Elsevier
We review the literature and examine the effects of shocks on bitcoin returns. We assess the
effects of factors such as stock market returns, exchange rates, gold and oil returns, FED's …

Identifying monetary policy shocks: A natural language approach

SB Aruoba, T Drechsel - 2024 - nber.org
We develop a novel method for the identification of monetary policy shocks. By applying
natural language processing techniques to documents that Federal Reserve staff prepare in …

Forecasting with medium and large Bayesian VARs

GM Koop - Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
This paper is motivated by the recent interest in the use of Bayesian VARs for forecasting,
even in cases where the number of dependent variables is large. In such cases factor …

Economic uncertainty and the influence of monetary policy

KA Aastveit, GJ Natvik, S Sola - Journal of International Money and …, 2017 - Elsevier
This paper explores if economic uncertainty alters the macroeconomic influence of monetary
policy. We use several measures of US economic uncertainty, and estimate their interaction …

Theory and practice of GVAR modelling

A Chudik, MH Pesaran - Journal of Economic Surveys, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) approach has proven to be a very useful
approach to analyse interactions in the global macroeconomy and other data networks …

Global business cycles: convergence or decoupling?

MA Kose, C Otrok, E Prasad - International economic review, 2012 - Wiley Online Library
We analyze the evolution of the degree of global cyclical interdependence over the period
1960–2008. Using a dynamic factor model, we decompose macroeconomic fluctuations in …

Bank liquidity creation, monetary policy, and financial crises

AN Berger, CHS Bouwman - Journal of Financial Stability, 2017 - Elsevier
This paper examines the interplay among bank liquidity creation (which incorporates all
bank on-and off-balance sheet activities), monetary policy, and financial crises. We find …

Credit market shocks and economic fluctuations: Evidence from corporate bond and stock markets

S Gilchrist, V Yankov, E Zakrajšek - Journal of monetary Economics, 2009 - Elsevier
To identify disruptions in credit markets, research on the role of asset prices in economic
fluctuations has focused on the information content of various corporate credit spreads. We …

Are the effects of monetary policy shocks big or small?

O Coibion - American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2012 - pubs.aeaweb.org
This paper studies the small estimated effects of monetary policy shocks from standard
VARs versus the large effects from the Romer and Romer (2004) approach. The differences …