Modeling imprecision in perception, valuation, and choice

M Woodford - Annual Review of Economics, 2020 - annualreviews.org
Traditional decision theory assumes that people respond to the exact features of the options
available to them, but observed behavior seems much less precise. This review considers …

Measuring and modeling attention

A Caplin - Annual Review of Economics, 2016 - annualreviews.org
This article presents a selective review of economic research on attentional choice, taking
an observation of as its starting point. Because standard choice data conflate utilities and …

Rational inattention to discrete choices: A new foundation for the multinomial logit model

F Matějka, A McKay - American Economic Review, 2015 - aeaweb.org
Individuals must often choose among discrete actions with imperfect information about their
payoffs. Before choosing, they have an opportunity to study the payoffs, but doing so is …

Stochastic choice and preferences for randomization

M Agranov, P Ortoleva - Journal of Political Economy, 2017 - journals.uchicago.edu
We conduct an experiment in which subjects face the same questions repeated multiple
times, with repetitions of two types:(1) following the literature, the repetitions are distant from …

Cognitive imprecision and small-stakes risk aversion

MW Khaw, Z Li, M Woodford - The review of economic studies, 2021 - academic.oup.com
Observed choices between risky lotteries are difficult to reconcile with expected utility
maximization, both because subjects appear to be too risk averse with regard to small …

Myopia and discounting

X Gabaix, D Laibson - 2017 - nber.org
We study perfectly patient agents who estimate the value of future events by generating
noisy, unbiased simulations and combining those signals with priors to form posteriors …

Speed, accuracy, and the optimal timing of choices

D Fudenberg, P Strack, T Strzalecki - American Economic Review, 2018 - aeaweb.org
We model the joint distribution of choice probabilities and decision times in binary decisions
as the solution to a problem of optimal sequential sampling, where the agent is uncertain of …

Efficient coding and risky choice

C Frydman, LJ Jin - The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2022 - academic.oup.com
We experimentally test a theory of risky choice in which the perception of a lottery payoff is
noisy due to information processing constraints in the brain. We model perception using the …

Identifying prediction mistakes in observational data

A Rambachan - The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2024 - academic.oup.com
Decision makers, such as doctors, judges, and managers, make consequential choices
based on predictions of unknown outcomes. Do these decision makers make systematic …

A survey of decision making and optimization under uncertainty

AJ Keith, DK Ahner - Annals of Operations Research, 2021 - Springer
Recent advances in decision making have incorporated both risk and ambiguity in decision
theory and optimization methods. These methods implement a variety of uncertainty …