Species distribution models have limited spatial transferability for invasive species

C Liu, C Wolter, W Xian, JM Jeschke - Ecology letters, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
The reliability of transferring species distribution models (SDMs) to new ranges and future
climates has been widely debated. Biological invasions offer the unique opportunity to …

Space‐for‐time substitutions in climate change ecology and evolution

RSL Lovell, S Collins, SH Martin, AL Pigot… - Biological …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
In an epoch of rapid environmental change, understanding and predicting how biodiversity
will respond to a changing climate is an urgent challenge. Since we seldom have sufficient …

The area under the precision‐recall curve as a performance metric for rare binary events

HR Sofaer, JA Hoeting… - Methods in Ecology and …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Species distribution models are used to study biogeographic patterns and guide decision‐
making. The variable quality of these models makes it critical to assess whether a model's …

Assessing the reliability of species distribution projections in climate change research

L Santini, A Benítez‐López, L Maiorano… - Diversity and …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Aim Forecasting changes in species distribution under future scenarios is one of the most
prolific areas of application for species distribution models (SDMs). However, no consensus …

Biological invasions reveal how niche change affects the transferability of species distribution models

C Liu, C Wolter, F Courchamp, N Roura‐Pascual… - Ecology, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Species distribution models (SDMs) have been widely applied to predict geographic ranges
of species across space and time under the assumption of niche conservatism (ie, species …

Contributions of Quaternary botany to modern ecology and biogeography

HJB Birks - Plant Ecology & Diversity, 2019 - Taylor & Francis
ABSTRACT Quaternary (last 2.6 million years) botany involves studying plant megafossils
(eg tree stumps), macrofossils (eg seeds, leaves), and microfossils (eg pollen, spores) …

Predicting climate heating impacts on riverine fish species diversity in a biodiversity hotspot region

T Makki, H Mostafavi, AA Matkan, R Valavi… - Scientific Reports, 2023 - nature.com
Co-occurring biodiversity and global heating crises are systemic threats to life on Earth as
we know it, especially in relatively rare freshwater ecosystems, such as in Iran. Future …

Modeling and mapping the current and future distribution of Pseudomonas syringae pv. actinidiae under climate change in China

R Wang, Q Li, S He, Y Liu, M Wang, G Jiang - PloS one, 2018 - journals.plos.org
Objective Bacterial canker of kiwifruit caused by Pseudomonas syringae pv. actinidiae (Psa)
is a major threat to the kiwifruit industry throughout the world and accounts for substantial …

How decisions about fitting species distribution models affect conservation outcomes

A Muscatello, J Elith, H Kujala - Conservation Biology, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Species distribution models (SDMs) are increasingly used in conservation and land‐use
planning as inputs to describe biodiversity patterns. These models can be built in different …

Predicting habitat suitability for Ixodesricinus and Ixodespersulcatus ticks in Finland

R Uusitalo, M Siljander, A Lindén, JJ Sormunen… - Parasites & vectors, 2022 - Springer
Background Ticks are responsible for transmitting several notable pathogens worldwide.
Finland lies in a zone where two human-biting tick species co-occur: Ixodes ricinus and …