[HTML][HTML] An evaluation of prospective COVID-19 modelling studies in the USA: from data to science translation
Infectious disease modelling can serve as a powerful tool for situational awareness and
decision support for policy makers. However, COVID-19 modelling efforts faced many …
decision support for policy makers. However, COVID-19 modelling efforts faced many …
[HTML][HTML] Real-time COVID-19 forecasting: challenges and opportunities of model performance and translation
The COVID-19 pandemic brought mathematical modelling into the spotlight, as scientists
rushed to use data to understand transmission patterns and disease severity, and to …
rushed to use data to understand transmission patterns and disease severity, and to …
The influence of individual emotions on the coupled model of unconfirmed information propagation and epidemic spreading in multilayer networks
J Gu - Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2023 - Elsevier
Epidemic outbreaks are often accompanied by the unconfirmed information propagation
Especially in the early stages of an epidemic outbreak, because of the lack of adequate …
Especially in the early stages of an epidemic outbreak, because of the lack of adequate …
[HTML][HTML] A consensus of evidence: The role of SPI-MO in the UK COVID-19 response
GF Medley - Advances in Biological Regulation, 2022 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
The COVID-19 epidemic posed a set of challenges for the science-policy interface that were,
at least initially, novel for most participants. In the UK, the scientific advisory group for …
at least initially, novel for most participants. In the UK, the scientific advisory group for …
[HTML][HTML] The African swine fever modelling challenge: Model comparison and lessons learnt
Robust epidemiological knowledge and predictive modelling tools are needed to address
challenging objectives, such as: understanding epidemic drivers; forecasting epidemics; and …
challenging objectives, such as: understanding epidemic drivers; forecasting epidemics; and …
[HTML][HTML] Informing policy via dynamic models: Cholera in Haiti
Public health decisions must be made about when and how to implement interventions to
control an infectious disease epidemic. These decisions should be informed by data on the …
control an infectious disease epidemic. These decisions should be informed by data on the …
[HTML][HTML] Communicating uncertainty in epidemic models
While mathematical models of disease transmission are widely used to inform public health
decision-makers globally, the uncertainty inherent in results are often poorly communicated …
decision-makers globally, the uncertainty inherent in results are often poorly communicated …
Public perceptions and interactions with UK COVID-19 Test, Trace and Isolate policies, and implications for pandemic infectious disease modelling
The efforts to contain SARS-CoV-2 and reduce the impact of COVID-19 have been
supported by Test, Trace and Isolate (TTI) systems in many settings, including the United …
supported by Test, Trace and Isolate (TTI) systems in many settings, including the United …
[HTML][HTML] Improving modelling for epidemic responses: reflections from members of the UK infectious disease modelling community on their experiences during the …
K Sherratt, AC Carnegie, A Kucharski… - Wellcome Open …, 2024 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Background The COVID-19 pandemic both relied and placed significant burdens on the
experts involved from research and public health sectors. The sustained high pressure of a …
experts involved from research and public health sectors. The sustained high pressure of a …
Public awareness of and opinions on the use of mathematical transmission modelling to inform public health policy in the United Kingdom
R McCabe, CA Donnelly - Journal of the Royal Society …, 2023 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Mathematical modelling is used to inform public health policy, particularly so during the
COVID-19 pandemic. As the public are key stakeholders, understanding the public …
COVID-19 pandemic. As the public are key stakeholders, understanding the public …