Objective: Scalable strategies to reduce the time burden and increase contact tracing
efficiency are crucial during early waves and peaks of infectious transmission. Design: We …

In the three years since SARS-CoV-2 was first detected in China, hundreds of millions of
people have been infected and millions have died. Along with the immediate need for …

The COVID-19 pandemic wrought significant health, political, and economic disruption
globally. From the onset of the pandemic, governments, multinational agencies, and the …

In recent years, publications in The Lancet Digital Health have presented research involving
pandemic scenarios. 1 However, during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic, the …

Forecasting the short-term spread of an ongoing disease outbreak is a formidable challenge
due to the complexity of contributing factors, some of which can be characterized through …

This short communication reflects upon the challenges and recommendations of multiple
COVID-19 modelling and data analytic groups that provided quantitative evidence to support …

Forecasting the short-term spread of an ongoing disease outbreak is a formidable challenge
due to the complexity of contributing factors, some of which can be characterized through …

Epidemiological compartmental models, such as SEIR (Susceptible, Exposed, Infectious,
and Recovered) models, have been generally used in analyzing epidemiological data and …

Abstract We introduce the Weighted Contextual Interval Score (WCIS), a new method for
evaluating the performance of short-term interval-form forecasts. The WCIS provides a …

Africa is rapidly urbanising and motorising, complicating its existing urban transport impacts
such as high road traffic injuries, air pollution, and decreasing physical activity derived from …