Geopolitical risk and stock market volatility: A global perspective

Y Zhang, J He, M He, S Li - Finance Research Letters, 2023 - Elsevier
This paper investigates the relationship between geopolitical risk (GPR) and stock market
volatility from a global perspective. We use dynamic panel data including 32 countries and …

Promotion or hindrance? Exploring the bidirectional causality between geopolitical risk and green bonds from an energy perspective

KH Wang, CP Wen, HW Liu, L Liu - Resources Policy, 2023 - Elsevier
This paper discusses the time-varying causalities between global geopolitical risk (GPR)
and green bonds (GBs) from the energy market perspective, with a sample period of 2012 …

Forecasting stock market volatility with various geopolitical risks categories: New evidence from machine learning models

Z Niu, C Wang, H Zhang - International Review of Financial Analysis, 2023 - Elsevier
This paper investigates how geopolitical risks influence the prediction performance on the
US stock market volatility with machine learning models. Further, it compares the predictive …

The impact of geopolitical risks on foreign exchange markets: Evidence from the Russia–Ukraine war

AT Hossain, AA Masum, S Saadi - Finance Research Letters, 2024 - Elsevier
We examine the relationship between geopolitical risks and foreign exchange markets using
the Russia–Ukraine conflict as a natural experiment. Our main findings indicate that, due to …

Geopolitical risk and the Saudi stock market: Evidence from a new wavelet packet multiresolution cross-causality

F Saâdaoui, SB Jabeur, JW Goodell - Finance Research Letters, 2023 - Elsevier
Recently, due to OPEC Plus cutting oil production, geopolitical tensions have escalated
between the United States and Saudi Arabia. We explore the relationship between …

Detecting the hidden asymmetric relationship between crude oil and the US dollar: A novel neural Granger causality method

L Wang, H Ruan, Y Hong, K Luo - Research in International Business and …, 2023 - Elsevier
The relationship between financial series is not always easy to detect due to their underlying
asymmetry and nonlinearity. Both characteristics are not usually considered simultaneously …

Will geopolitical risks only inhibit corporate investment? Evidence from China

F Lai, D Xiong, S Zhu, Y Li, Y Tan - Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 2023 - Elsevier
This paper uses data from Chinese listed companies to test the heterogeneous effects of
China's local geopolitical risk (GPR_CHN) and global geopolitical risk (GPR) on Chinese …

Geopolitical risk, economic policy uncertainty, and bank stability in BRICS countries

OE Olalere, J Mukuddem-Petersen - Cogent Economics & Finance, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
Global tensions and uncertainty in economic policy can cause structural change and
disruption in the volatile sector of the economy. This study investigates the effects of …

Natural resources, geopolitical conflicts, and digital trade: Evidence from China

G Shaobin, K Ahmad, NU Khan - Resources Policy, 2024 - Elsevier
Globally digital trade has been increasing, exerting a positive economic impact, especially in
China. Therefore, it is essential to escalate the volume and pace of digital trade in China …

Geopolitical risk and the predictability of spillovers between exchange, commodity and stock markets

X Hao, Y Ma, D Pan - Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 2024 - Elsevier
We utilize the cross-quantilogram method to assess the predictive capacity of geopolitical
risk (GPR) on volatility spillovers calculated by the time-varying parameter vector …