Uncertainty analysis in multi‐sector systems: Considerations for risk analysis, projection, and planning for complex systems

V Srikrishnan, DC Lafferty, TE Wong… - Earth's …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Simulation models of multi‐sector systems are increasingly used to understand societal
resilience to climate and economic shocks and change. However, multi‐sector systems are …

Unraveling complex causal processes that affect sustainability requires more integration between empirical and modeling approaches

M Schlüter, C Brelsford, PJ Ferraro… - Proceedings of the …, 2023 - National Acad Sciences
Scientists seek to understand the causal processes that generate sustainability problems
and determine effective solutions. Yet, causal inquiry in nature–society systems is hampered …

Cooperative adaptive management of the Nile River with climate and socio-economic uncertainties

M Basheer, V Nechifor, A Calzadilla… - Nature Climate …, 2023 - nature.com
The uncertainties around the hydrological and socio-economic implications of climate
change pose a challenge for Nile River system management, especially with rapidly rising …

Uncovering the Dynamics of Multi‐Sector Impacts of Hydrological Extremes: A Methods Overview

MM de Brito, J Sodoge, A Fekete… - Earth's …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Hydrological extremes, such as droughts and floods, can trigger a complex web of
compound and cascading impacts (CCI) due to interdependencies between coupled natural …

Progress in modeling dynamic systems for sustainable development

NE Selin, A Giang, WC Clark - Proceedings of the National …, 2023 - National Acad Sciences
This Perspective evaluates recent progress in modeling nature–society systems to inform
sustainable development. We argue that recent work has begun to address longstanding …

Continental United States climate projections based on thermodynamic modification of historical weather

AD Jones, D Rastogi, P Vahmani, AM Stansfield… - Scientific Data, 2023 - nature.com
Regional climate models can be used to examine how past weather events might unfold
under different climate conditions by simulating analogue versions of those events with …

[HTML][HTML] Knowledge co-production for decision-making in human-natural systems under uncertainty

EA Moallemi, F Zare, A Hebinck, K Szetey… - Global Environmental …, 2023 - Elsevier
Decision-making under uncertainty is important for managing human-natural systems in a
changing world. A major source of uncertainty is linked to the multi-actor settings of …

Representing socio‐economic uncertainty in human system models

J Morris, J Reilly, S Paltsev, A Sokolov, K Cox - Earth's Future, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Socio‐economic development pathways and their implications for the environment are
highly uncertain, and energy transitions will involve complex interactions among sectors …

Conflict or Coordination? The Spatiotemporal Relationship Between Humans and Nature on the Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau

H Liu, Y Cheng, Z Liu, Q Li, H Zhang, W Wei - Earth's Future, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract As the Earth's Third Pole and the Asian water tower, the Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau
(QTP) plays a key role in global climate regulation and biodiversity maintenance. Living in …

[HTML][HTML] Proposing DAPP-MR as a disaster risk management pathways framework for complex, dynamic multi-risk

J Schlumberger, M Haasnoot, J Aerts, M De Ruiter - Iscience, 2022 - cell.com
Climate change impacts are increasingly complex owing to compounding, interacting, and
cascading risks across sectors. However, approaches to support Disaster Risk Management …