Independence preservation in expert judgment synthesis

M Shattuck, C Wagner - Aequationes mathematicae, 2010 - Springer
We prove, with a few minor exceptions, that if P 1 and P 2 are probability distributions on the
countable set S for which the fixed events E and F are independent, then, both for the …

[PDF][PDF] Utilisation d'avis d'experts en actuariat

M Pigeon - 2008 - corpus.ulaval.ca
Résumé Le présent mémoire a pour but de présenter deux techniques permettant
l'obtention d'une estimation de la distribution d'une variable aléatoire lorsque les données …

[PDF][PDF] Generalising the Maximum Entropy Inference Process to the Aggregation of Probabilistic Beliefs Version 5

G Wilmers - 2011 - researchgate.net
The present paper stems from a desire to combine ideas arising from two historically
different axiomatic frameworks of probabilistic reasoning, each having its own traditions, into …

[DOC][DOC] Carl G. Wagner Department of Mathematics The University of Tennessee Knoxville, TN 37996, USA wagner@ math. utk. edu

P Disagreement, I Preservation - philsci-archive.pitt.edu
It has often been recommended that the differing probability distributions of a group of
experts should be reconciled in such a way as to preserve any agreement on the stochastic …

[图书][B] Eliminating incoherence from subjective estimates of chance

S Tsavachidis - 2003 - search.proquest.com
Human expertise is a significant source of information about environments with inherent
uncertainty. However, it is well documented that subjective estimates of chance tend to …

[引用][C] A generalization of de Finetti's theorem

JB Predd, D Osherson, SR Kulkarni, HV Poor - preprint, Princeton University, 2005

[引用][C] Amalgamation of Subjective Probability Profiles and of Allocation Profiles

TE Armstrong - Preferences, Uncertainty, And Optimality: Essays In …, 1990 - Westview Press