Agent-based modeling to estimate the impact of lockdown scenarios and events on a pandemic exemplified on SARS-CoV-2

C Nitzsche, S Simm - Scientific Reports, 2024 - nature.com
In actual pandemic situations like COVID-19, it is important to understand the influence of
single mitigation measures as well as combinations to create most dynamic impact for …

Using Epidemiological Models to Predict the Spread of Information on Twitter

M Castiello, D Conte, S Iscaro - Algorithms, 2023 - mdpi.com
In this article, we analyze the spread of information on social media (Twitter) and purpose a
strategy based on epidemiological models. It is well known that social media represent a …

A rigorous theoretical and numerical analysis of a nonlinear reaction-diffusion epidemic model pertaining dynamics of COVID-19

L Wang, AA Khan, S Ullah, N Haider, SA AlQahtani… - Scientific Reports, 2024 - nature.com
The spatial movement of the human population from one region to another and the
existence of super-spreaders are the main factors that enhanced the disease incidence …

The role of mobility in the dynamics of the COVID-19 epidemic in Andalusia

Z Rapti, J Cuevas-Maraver, E Kontou, S Liu… - Bulletin of Mathematical …, 2023 - Springer
Metapopulation models have been a popular tool for the study of epidemic spread over a
network of highly populated nodes (cities, provinces, countries) and have been extensively …

The impact of Spring Festival travel on epidemic spreading in China

HC Sun, S Pei, L Wang, YY Sun, XK Xu - Viruses, 2023 - mdpi.com
The large population movement during the Spring Festival travel in China can considerably
accelerate the spread of epidemics, especially after the relaxation of strict control measures …

Existence of Traveling Waves of a Diffusive Susceptible–Infected–Symptomatic–Recovered Epidemic Model with Temporal Delay

JC Miranda, AJ Arenas, G González-Parra, LM Villada - Mathematics, 2024 - mdpi.com
The aim of this article is to investigate the existence of traveling waves of a diffusive model
that represents the transmission of a virus in a determined population composed of the …

A dynamical mathematical model for crime evolution based on a compartmental system with interactions

J Calatayud, M Jornet, J Mateu - International Journal of Computer …, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
We use data on imprisonment in Spain to fit a system of three ordinary differential equations
that describes the temporal evolution of three different groups in the country: offenders that …

Backcasting COVID-19: a physics-informed estimate for early case incidence

GA Kevrekidis, Z Rapti, Y Drossinos… - Royal Society …, 2022 - royalsocietypublishing.org
It is widely accepted that the number of reported cases during the first stages of the COVID-
19 pandemic severely underestimates the number of actual cases. We leverage delay …

A reaction-diffusion model for the transmission dynamics of the Coronavirus pandemic with reinfection and vaccination process

H Abboubakar, R Racke, N Schlosser - 2023 - kops.uni-konstanz.de
This work aims at deriving and analysing a reaction-diffusion model for the transmission
dynamics of the Coronavirus (COVID-19) which takes into account the reinfection and the …

Optimal control of a diffusive epidemiological model involving the Caputo-Fabrizio fractional time-derivative

A Zinihi, MRS Ammi, M Ehrhardt - arXiv preprint arXiv:2403.00364, 2024 - arxiv.org
In this work we study a fractional SEIR biological model of a reaction-diffusion, using the non-
singular kernel Caputo-Fabrizio fractional derivative in the Caputo sense and employing the …