[HTML][HTML] Forecasting: theory and practice

F Petropoulos, D Apiletti, V Assimakopoulos… - International Journal of …, 2022 - Elsevier
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The
uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and …

Social media in disaster communication

L Palen, AL Hughes - Handbook of disaster research, 2018 - Springer
This chapter surveys the rapid rise of social media in a range of disaster experiences,
reviewing topics of citizen reporting, community-oriented computing, distributed problem …

Visualizing uncertainty about the future

D Spiegelhalter, M Pearson, I Short - science, 2011 - science.org
We are all faced with uncertainty about the future, but we can get the measure of some
uncertainties in terms of probabilities. Probabilities are notoriously difficult to communicate …

[HTML][HTML] Applying infectious disease forecasting to public health: a path forward using influenza forecasting examples

CS Lutz, MP Huynh, M Schroeder, S Anyatonwu… - BMC Public Health, 2019 - Springer
Background Infectious disease forecasting aims to predict characteristics of both seasonal
epidemics and future pandemics. Accurate and timely infectious disease forecasts could aid …

A review of operational, regional-scale, chemical weather forecasting models in Europe

J Kukkonen, T Olsson, DM Schultz… - Atmospheric …, 2012 - acp.copernicus.org
Numerical models that combine weather forecasting and atmospheric chemistry are here
referred to as chemical weather forecasting models. Eighteen operational chemical weather …

Risk and uncertainty communication

D Spiegelhalter - Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, 2017 - annualreviews.org
This review briefly examines the vast range of techniques used to communicate risk
assessments arising from statistical analysis. After discussing essential psychological and …

300 billion served: Sources, perceptions, uses, and values of weather forecasts

JK Lazo, RE Morss, JL Demuth - Bulletin of the American …, 2009 - journals.ametsoc.org
Understanding the public's sources, perceptions, uses, and values of weather forecasts is
integral to providing those forecasts in the most societally beneficial manner. To begin …

[HTML][HTML] Understanding public hurricane evacuation decisions and responses to forecast and warning messages

RE Morss, JL Demuth, JK Lazo… - Weather and …, 2016 - journals.ametsoc.org
Understanding Public Hurricane Evacuation Decisions and Responses to Forecast and
Warning Messages in: Weather and Forecasting Volume 31 Issue 2 (2016) Jump to Content …

Acknowledging uncertainty impacts public acceptance of climate scientists' predictions

LC Howe, B MacInnis, JA Krosnick… - Nature Climate …, 2019 - nature.com
Predictions about the effects of climate change cannot be made with complete certainty, so
acknowledging uncertainty may increase trust in scientists and public acceptance of their …

The cry wolf effect and weather‐related decision making

J LeClerc, S Joslyn - Risk analysis, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
Despite improvements in forecasting extreme weather events, noncompliance with weather
warnings among the public remains a problem. Although there are likely many reasons for …