Eliciting expert knowledge in conservation science

TG Martin, MA Burgman, F Fidler… - Conservation …, 2012 - Wiley Online Library
Expert knowledge is used widely in the science and practice of conservation because of the
complexity of problems, relative lack of data, and the imminent nature of many conservation …

Overprecision in judgment

DA Moore, ER Tenney, U Haran - The Wiley Blackwell …, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
Overprecision in judgment is both the most durable and the least understood form of
overconfidence. This chapter reviews the evidence on overprecision, highlighting its …

[图书][B] Trusting judgements: how to get the best out of experts

MA Burgman - 2016 - books.google.com
Policy-and decision-makers in government and industry constantly face important decisions
without full knowledge of all the facts. They rely routinely on expert advice to fill critical …

Reducing overconfidence in the interval judgments of experts

A Speirs‐Bridge, F Fidler, M McBride… - Risk Analysis: An …, 2010 - Wiley Online Library
Elicitation of expert opinion is important for risk analysis when only limited data are
available. Expert opinion is often elicited in the form of subjective confidence intervals; …

Construal level theory as an integrative framework for behavioral decision-making research and consumer psychology

K Fiedler - Journal of Consumer Psychology, 2007 - Elsevier
In this comment to Trope, Liberman and Makslak's lead article, I refrain from any attempt to
review or recapitulate the growing body of research in social psychology in general and in …

[图书][B] Straight choices: The psychology of decision making

BR Newell, DA Lagnado, DR Shanks - 2022 - taylorfrancis.com
Straight Choices provides a fascinating introduction to the psychology of decision making,
enhanced by discussion of relevant examples of decision problems faced in everyday life …

No pain, no gain? How fluency and construal level affect consumer confidence

CI Tsai, AL McGill - Journal of Consumer Research, 2011 - academic.oup.com
Choice confidence is affected by fluency and moderated by construal levels that evoke
different theories to interpret the feelings of fluency. At lower construal levels, fluency informs …

Subjective confidence in one's answers: the consensuality principle.

A Koriat - Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory …, 2008 - psycnet.apa.org
In answering general-information questions, a within-person confidence-accuracy (CA)
correlation is typically observed, suggesting that people can monitor the correctness of their …

Effects of amount of information on judgment accuracy and confidence

CI Tsai, J Klayman, R Hastie - Organizational Behavior and Human …, 2008 - Elsevier
When a person evaluates his or her confidence in a judgment, what is the effect of receiving
more judgment-relevant information? We report three studies that show when judges …

Judgment confidence and judgment accuracy of teachers in judging self-concepts of students

AK Praetorius, VD Berner, H Zeinz… - The Journal of …, 2013 - Taylor & Francis
Accurate teacher judgments of student characteristics are considered to be important
prerequisites for adaptive instruction. A theoretically important condition for putting these …