[HTML][HTML] Local projections for applied economics

Ò Jordà - Annual Review of Economics, 2023 - annualreviews.org
The dynamic causal effect of an intervention on an outcome is of paramount interest to
applied macro-and microeconomics research. However, this question has been generally …

The long-run effects of monetary policy

Ò Jordà, SR Singh, AM Taylor - 2020 - nber.org
Does monetary policy have persistent effects on the productive capacity of the economy?
Yes, we find that such effects are economically and statistically significant and last for over a …

Bias in local projections

EP Herbst, BK Johannsen - Journal of Econometrics, 2024 - Elsevier
Local projections (LPs) are a popular tool in macroeconomic research. We show that LPs
are often used with very small samples in the time dimension and, consequently, that LP …

Identification and inference under narrative restrictions

R Giacomini, T Kitagawa, M Read - arXiv preprint arXiv:2102.06456, 2021 - arxiv.org
We consider structural vector autoregressions subject to'narrative restrictions', which are
inequality restrictions on functions of the structural shocks in specific periods. These …

Investigating growth-at-risk using a multicountry nonparametric quantile factor model

TE Clark, F Huber, G Koop, M Marcellino… - Journal of Business & …, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
We develop a nonparametric quantile panel regression model. Within each quantile, the
quantile function is a combination of linear and nonlinear parts, which we approximate using …

Testing the effects of fiscal policy shocks on output growth in recession and expansion: empirical evidence from developing countries

R Rafique, A Nisar, SSA Shah - Economic Change and Restructuring, 2024 - Springer
This study estimates fiscal multipliers and evaluates the effectiveness of fiscal policy in a
large panel of 107 developing countries over the medium term. Using Jorda's local …

[PDF][PDF] Local projection based inference under general conditions

KL Xu - Available at SSRN 4372388, 2023 - aeaweb.org
This paper provides the uniform asymptotic theory for local projection (LP) regression when
the true lag order of the model is unknown, possibly infinity. The theory allows for various …

On transmission channels of energy prices and monetary policy shocks to household consumption: Evidence from India

P Priya, C Sharma - Energy Economics, 2024 - Elsevier
This study examines the channels of transmission of unanticipated energy price changes
and monetary policy shocks to household consumption decisions. We use a large and …

[HTML][HTML] The long and variable lags of monetary policy: Evidence from disaggregated price indices

SB Aruoba, T Drechsel - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2024 - Elsevier
We study how monetary policy affects subcomponents of the Personal Consumption
Expenditures Price Index (PCEPI) using local projections. Following a monetary policy …

Comparison of local projection estimators for proxy vector autoregressions

M Bruns, H Lütkepohl - Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2022 - Elsevier
Different local projection (LP) estimators for structural impulse responses of proxy vector
autoregressions are reviewed and compared algebraically and with respect to their small …