[HTML][HTML] Forecasting: theory and practice

F Petropoulos, D Apiletti, V Assimakopoulos… - International Journal of …, 2022 - Elsevier
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The
uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and …

Recurrent neural networks for time series forecasting: Current status and future directions

H Hewamalage, C Bergmeir, K Bandara - International Journal of …, 2021 - Elsevier
Abstract Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) have become competitive forecasting methods,
as most notably shown in the winning method of the recent M4 competition. However …

[HTML][HTML] Load forecasting models in smart grid using smart meter information: a review

F Dewangan, AY Abdelaziz, M Biswal - Energies, 2023 - mdpi.com
The smart grid concept is introduced to accelerate the operational efficiency and enhance
the reliability and sustainability of power supply by operating in self-control mode to find and …

[HTML][HTML] M5 accuracy competition: Results, findings, and conclusions

S Makridakis, E Spiliotis, V Assimakopoulos - International Journal of …, 2022 - Elsevier
In this study, we present the results of the M5 “Accuracy” competition, which was the first of
two parallel challenges in the latest M competition with the aim of advancing the theory and …

[HTML][HTML] The M5 competition: Background, organization, and implementation

S Makridakis, E Spiliotis, V Assimakopoulos - International Journal of …, 2022 - Elsevier
The M5 competition follows the previous four M competitions, whose purpose is to learn from
empirical evidence how to improve forecasting performance and advance the theory and …

Anomaly detection in univariate time-series: A survey on the state-of-the-art

M Braei, S Wagner - arXiv preprint arXiv:2004.00433, 2020 - arxiv.org
Anomaly detection for time-series data has been an important research field for a long time.
Seminal work on anomaly detection methods has been focussing on statistical approaches …

Kaggle forecasting competitions: An overlooked learning opportunity

CS Bojer, JP Meldgaard - International Journal of Forecasting, 2021 - Elsevier
We review the results of six forecasting competitions based on the online data science
platform Kaggle, which have been largely overlooked by the forecasting community. In …

[HTML][HTML] Forecast evaluation for data scientists: common pitfalls and best practices

H Hewamalage, K Ackermann, C Bergmeir - Data Mining and Knowledge …, 2023 - Springer
Recent trends in the Machine Learning (ML) and in particular Deep Learning (DL) domains
have demonstrated that with the availability of massive amounts of time series, ML and DL …

[HTML][HTML] Forecasting with trees

T Januschowski, Y Wang, K Torkkola, T Erkkilä… - International Journal of …, 2022 - Elsevier
The prevalence of approaches based on gradient boosted trees among the top contestants
in the M5 competition is potentially the most eye-catching result. Tree-based methods out …

Monash time series forecasting archive

R Godahewa, C Bergmeir, GI Webb… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2021 - arxiv.org
Many businesses and industries nowadays rely on large quantities of time series data
making time series forecasting an important research area. Global forecasting models that …