Length Optimization in Conformal Prediction

S Kiyani, G Pappas, H Hassani - arXiv preprint arXiv:2406.18814, 2024 - arxiv.org
Conditional validity and length efficiency are two crucial aspects of conformal prediction
(CP). Achieving conditional validity ensures accurate uncertainty quantification for data …

Group-weighted conformal prediction

A Bhattacharyya, RF Barber - arXiv preprint arXiv:2401.17452, 2024 - arxiv.org
Conformal prediction (CP) is a method for constructing a prediction interval around the
output of a fitted model, whose validity does not rely on the model being correct--the CP …

Approximating full conformal prediction at scale via influence functions

J Abad, U Bhatt, A Weller, G Cherubin - arXiv preprint arXiv:2202.01315, 2022 - arxiv.org
Conformal prediction (CP) is a wrapper around traditional machine learning models, giving
coverage guarantees under the sole assumption of exchangeability; in classification …

Selective Conformal Inference with FCR Control

Y Bao, Y Huo, H Ren, C Zou - arXiv preprint arXiv:2301.00584, 2023 - arxiv.org
Conformal inference is a popular tool for constructing prediction intervals (PI). We consider
here the scenario of post-selection/selective conformal inference, that is PIs are reported …

Design-based conformal prediction

J Wieczorek - arXiv preprint arXiv:2303.01422, 2023 - arxiv.org
Conformal prediction is an assumption-lean approach to generating distribution-free
prediction intervals or sets, for nearly arbitrary predictive models, with guaranteed finite …

Approximating full conformal prediction at scale via influence functions

JA Martinez, U Bhatt, A Weller… - Proceedings of the AAAI …, 2023 - ojs.aaai.org
Conformal prediction (CP) is a wrapper around traditional machine learning models, giving
coverage guarantees under the sole assumption of exchangeability; in classification …

Conformal prediction with local weights: randomization enables local guarantees

R Hore, RF Barber - arXiv preprint arXiv:2310.07850, 2023 - arxiv.org
In this work, we consider the problem of building distribution-free prediction intervals with
finite-sample conditional coverage guarantees. Conformal prediction (CP) is an increasingly …

Post-selection inference for conformal prediction: Trading off coverage for precision

S Sarkar, AK Kuchibhotla - arXiv preprint arXiv:2304.06158, 2023 - arxiv.org
Conformal inference has played a pivotal role in providing uncertainty quantification for
black-box ML prediction algorithms with finite sample guarantees. Traditionally, conformal …

Adaptive conformal prediction by reweighting nonconformity score

SI Amoukou, NJB Brunel - arXiv preprint arXiv:2303.12695, 2023 - arxiv.org
Despite attractive theoretical guarantees and practical successes, Predictive Interval (PI)
given by Conformal Prediction (CP) may not reflect the uncertainty of a given model. This …

Effective utilization of data in inductive conformal prediction

T Löfström, U Johansson, H Boström - … , Dallas, TX, USA, August 4-9 …, 2013 - diva-portal.org
Conformal prediction is a new framework produc-ing region predictions with a guaranteed
error rate. Inductive conformal prediction (ICP) was designed to significantly reduce the …